The estimated trajectory of emergency of the Russian spacecraft Progress M-27M ", gradually losing height, passes over Kiev, said a source in the space industry. "The route of the flight if we talk about Europe, passes over Paris in France, then to Cologne in Germany and bypasses Krakow in Poland. Along with this, captured Kiev and Kiev region in Ukraine ", - quotes the source expression RIA " Novosti ". He noticed that the Route of flight does not mean that medium-sized wrecks will indeed have the opportunity to fall in these areas." Will be crucial entry point of the ship in the Earth's atmosphere. Only then Will it be possible to say how exactly the range you can expect a drop of unburned fragments ", - He explained. Earlier on Thursday, the experts from the space research Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences gave its forecast by a descent of "Progress" from orbit." According to the results obtained for the initial conditions (6 may 2015, the most likely range of time points falling spacecraft from 2 hours (GMT) to 12 hours on 8 may. The average value of the fall time is 7 hours and 8 may (10: 00 Moscow time), according to the calculations of the scientist Andrei Nazarenko, reports news Agency. The Professor stresses that the ship could leave the orbit and Earlier due to the unstable space weather." on inaccurate data may 6, there was quite a strong geomagnetic storm. For this reason, you should wait for the amplification of deceleration of the spacecraft in the atmosphere and approaching the moment of his fall, " - said in the explanatory note to the calculations. Also and American experts explained the alleged crash site of " Progress ". According to the us space surveillance system space, the cargo spacecraft "Progress M-27M" can enter the dense layers of the atmosphere over the Pacific ocean in 3 thousand km to the East of Indonesia in the middle of the day Friday, may 8th. Possible fall zone of the ship is between 51, 6 degrees South latitude and 51, 6 degrees North latitude. On Wednesday, the Russian space Agency has given its guidance that " Progress will cease to exist roughly from 01: 23 to 21: 55 Moscow time on may 8. According to authorities, the vehicle will completely burn in the dense layers of Earth's atmosphere, Only some small fragments can reach the surface of the planet. Russian Amateur astronomers headed by Vladimir Lipunov told about the explosion of " Progress ". Remember, April 28, at the Russian mission control Center announced the decision to postpone the spacecraft docking with the ISS due to the fact that telemetry with "Progress" came not in full. As it turned out later, the machine was launched into orbit on a few tens of kilometers above the estimated. On a subsequent day the cargo ship, which never managed to connect, began a gradual uncontrolled deorbit. Despite the disastrous flight of the space truck " Progress M-27M ", on may 26 from the Baikonur cosmodrome scheduled to launch next expedition: "the Soyuz TMA-17M" to the ISS will fly Oleg Kononenko (Roscosmos), Kimiya Yui (JAXA) and Kjell Lindgren (NASA).
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