Dmitry Mayorov. The ruble against the dual currency basket in early trading steadily falling, while the high risks associated With the events in Ukraine and in the background, updates stock indices of the Russian Federation lows in early may.
The dollar exchange rate calculations " tomorrow " to eleven. 00 MSK increased by 23 kopecks to 35, 36 rubles (rose almost 35, 4 roubles - a maximum Since the beginning of may), the Euro - 33 copecks - up to 47, 51 ruble, follows from the data of the capital market. The cost of the currency basket (0, 55 dollars and 0.45 euros) grew by 28 kopecks in comparison With level of the last closed and was equal to 40, 83 roubles (rose almost 40, 87 ruble - a maximum Since the beginning of June).
negatively on the dynamics of Russian assets affects the decision of the court of Arbitration in the Hague, not fully satisfied, according to sources, the claim of the former shareholders of Yukos to Russia, and awarded them $ 50 billion instead of the requested 114 billion.
The decision, apparently, will be perceived as a kind of barometer of relations of Europe to Russia now, said Cole Axon from the organization Sberbank KIB.
The US and EU continue to expand punishment and blame the Russian Federation in all that happens in Ukraine, stresses analyst organization " Alpari " Vladislav Antonov.
" currently prepares next round of sanctions. In the lack of reinforcing factors dollar and Euro have an opportunity in the next 3 days to add another 50 to 70 kopecks. In case of successful resistance levels around 35, 25 roubles to the dollar and 47, 66 ruble per Euro, foreign currency will go to marks 35, 50 and 47, 96, respectively, " he added.
this week the rouble will continue to lose ground, the analyst of Bank " Zenith " Vladimir yevstifeev." Given the sluggish response to the increased interest rates of the CBRF, the risks of introduction of economic sanctions of the EU is still not fully reflected in the value of the Russian currency. In addition, the completion of July of the tax period will deprive the ruble internal supports, " said he.
" in our opinion, the effectiveness of the key rate at 8% will manifest itself positively for the rouble, only in the case of another attenuation geopolitical risks, and at the current moment, when foreign capital again leaves the market of the Russian Federation, it cannot provide support, " added yevstifeev.
The increase by the Bank of Russia's key interest rate has had on the last working day of the week substantial support the ruble, evaluates the chief analyst of organization Management " Savings " Alexander Potavin." for this reason, in the coming days, the pair EUR/USD worth the wait above Friday's closing in area of 35, 30 to 35, 40 ", - he added.
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