MOSCOW, 12 Feb - RIA Novosti/Prime, Dmitry Mayorov. The ruble exchange rate To the Euro And the dollar on Thursday night declined steadily in the correction, despite moderate positive from Minsk And the rise in world oil prices.
The dollar calculations "tomorrow" To 18. 12 MSC grew at 0, 7 roubles To 65, 95 ruble, Euro - 1, 1 ruble - 75, 05 ruble, follows from the data of capital exchange.
The price of Brent To This hour was up by 3, 1%, To 56, $ 4 per barrel.
The ruble during the trading day Thursday showed wide fluctuations, caused largely by geopolitical factors.
Thus, from the very dawn was dominated by the growth of the ruble against the dollar And the Euro received from Minsk during the night the encouraging messages about the process of negotiations on the provisions in the Donbass.
However thirty minutes after the start of trading This growth was followed by the fall of the Russian national currency against the major reserve currencies exceeding two roubles. This was supported by the statements of the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko about the lack of a breakthrough in the negotiations.
But then on the background of the statements of the President centuries Putin And messages about the positive results of the Minsk talks Ruble compensated for lost ground And went in, plus more than 50 cents To the dollar And the Euro. He reached intraday highs around 64, 5 ruble And 73, 3 rubles, respectively To the dollar And the Euro.
However, this trend did not last long And then was replaced by the decrease of the rouble against the background of a slowdown in the rate of increase in the cost of oil.
in addition, in anticipation of the Minsk talks Ruble was slightly stronger in the last days. So, in fact the events market players rushed to take profits from this increase.
In addition, the results of the Minsk talks about stabilizing the situation in the Donbass confirmed cases, specialists say. Until such evidence the exchange participants are not in a hurry And then actively playing on the side of the ruble.
against this backdrop, the dollar And the Euro in the evening grew to an estimated 1 Ruble.
Minsk agreement allow us to hope that fresh sanctions against the Russian Federation will not be introduced, But to cancel old ones may be delayed in time, says Sergei Kochergin from the organization Exness.
"This factor constrains the emerging appreciation of the ruble. However, without taking into account the geopolitical stabilization of oil prices in the range of 55-60 dollars And the beginning of the tax period in the Russian Federation are obliged to play into the hands of the ruble. In the short term we expect the break down of the pair EUR/USD support level 64, " said Kochergin.
A fundamental factor for the dynamics of the ruble continues to be the Cost for petroleum products, says the head of the Guild of investment And financial analysts Mikhail Vasiliev.
"over the past period of time, the CBR has learned to control speculative sentiment in the market, So that the level will be determined by the situation on the oil market. Political factors, In spite of their importance, are short-term for the choice of the exchange rate. And although today the talks in Minsk were achieved positive consensus, I am sure that we will see negative events. Thus it is quite Possible that short-term reduction rate of the ruble, " he said.
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