Prospects emergency cancellation penalties against Iran have the opportunity to have for the Russian Federation, Both positive and negative consequences, writes the wall Street Journal.
From the diplomatic point of view, highlights magazine, Russia was a key player in the negotiations With Iran and strengthened ties With Tehran, While at the same time, the West has taken a tough stance. But the conclusion of a final agreement could weaken its mediating role, highlights magazine (translation - RT).
From an economic point of view, the abolition of the punishment that Moscow was criticized for a long time, would allow the Russian weapons manufacturers to export their products to Iran. However, they have the opportunity to face strong competition from Western organizations. Besides the return of Iranian oil and gas on the international market increases the probability of bringing To lower energy prices, which already suffers from Russia." If in June signed a final agreement, Russia will lose out ", - the analyst of the Moscow Carnegie Center Alexei Malashenko. According to him, in the end, Iran will increasingly inclining towards the West, that will be a problem for the capital of Russia. However, the Russian authorities applauded the agreement, calling it a rare example of cooperation Between East and West against the background of the current tense situation in Ukraine." The results are encouraging, " said foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov In.. Diplomats still need to work very hard to make the final deal was done, But the odds are very good that drew the attention of the head of the Russian Ministry of foreign Affairs. At the same time, says the magazine, the reaction of other Russian politicians was not so rosy that diplomatic notes the difficulties faced by Russia, which may be to weaken their places at rapprochement between Iran and the USA. Iran is one of the few remaining allies of Russia in the middle East. This Islamic Republic, whose population are mostly Shiite Muslims, not so many friends among Sunni neighbors. Due to the strong pressure from the West, Russia was forced to cancel a contract for production and delivery of anti-aircraft missile systems s-300 to Iran. However, according to the Russian military, Moscow and Tehran to discuss a new agreement, which may include the acquisition of these systems And other military equipment. Some analysts suggest that although the Russian capital will have the advantage in the matter of armaments and nuclear power, the weakening of the Russian economy will not be able to make much of a rivalry in other fields." Russia is in a rather difficult economic situation because of Western sanctions, and it will not be able to invest in Iran the same means As in the past - said the General Director of the Center for the study of modern Iran Rajab Safarov.- And Iran, As any rational state, will not put everything on one card only ". As reported first printed edition GLANCE, the negative impact of the Iranian factor on oil prices and the Russian economy may be too exaggerated. On the contrary, the price of black gold have the opportunity to again start to grow And the withdrawal of the banking and oil sanctions against Tehran promises Russia is a multiple of the increase in turnover. There's a whole list of Russian industries that will benefit the most, with the abolition of trade restrictions With Iran.