The shelling of the Donbass region of Ukraine have the opportunity to be used as a reason for the extension of sanctions against Russia, writes the expert on Ukraine from the Institute of international and strategic relations Philip Migo on.
A decision on the EU sanctions against Russia is obliged to decide in July, resembles the Creator.
"Save this (sanctions - ed.) policies that require unanimity of member States of the EU, has not been achieved. As a result, the pressure increases from the most intransigent European countries, " emphasizes Migo.
in this context, according to the specialist, the fighting, right now the incident in the Donbass between security forces and militias, " occurred in the most time." Responsible for another violation of the ceasefire has not yet been installed, However, in the opinion of the author, the fact of the resumption of hostilities will be used to justify the continuation of its policy of sanctions against Russia.
Migo recalls the statement of the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko did not rule out the possibility of all-out war with Russia, the foreign Minister of Lithuania Linas Linkevi?ius and the Prime Minister of Canada Stephen Harper, who proposed to extend the punishment against Russia. Harper spoke out against the fact that Russia is back in the " Big eight ".
the Creator of the article believes that the statements of Harper explained by political motives: in October of the current year are required to complete elections to the House of Commons of Canada, and the Prime Minister wants to give firm guarantees a large community of Canadians of Ukrainian descent.
However the Harper review Migaud, takes a position that does not correspond to the Political and diplomatic realities. Political, because Putin enjoys huge support from the people of Russia, diplomatic - because you cannot eliminate from international deliberations of a member of the UN security Council and a nuclear power for a long time. In addition, emphasizes, camping supporters intransigent policy of the Kremlin is killing me.
for example, Migaud recalls the statement of the foreign Minister of Germany Frank-Walter Steinmeier, who said that the Russian Federation must be returned to the G8. Greece is able to refuse to renew punishment. The visit of U.S. Secretary of state John Kerry testifies about the U.S. desire to start a dialogue on the issue of the Ukrainian crisis, says the Creator of the article.
"Therefore, the hypothesis of provocations from Ukraine, aimed at the restoration of hostilities in the Donbass, in order to hinder the process of peace between the Russians, the Americans and the major EU States, does not have the opportunity to be excluded," Migaud.