The placement of the Ukrainian anti-aircraft missile systems s-300 in the Odessa region could limit Russia's ability to rotate its troops in Transnistria And ensure their supply, experts say the U.S. private intelligence and research organization.
first it was claimed that the Ukrainian authorities intend to deploy s-300 around Odessa, close to the border with Transnistria, remind the authors of material published on the Internet representation of the organization.
review analysts Stratfor, the geographical position of the self-proclaimed Transnistrian Moldovan Republic attaches special significance in the rivalry between Russia And the West over influence in the former Soviet periphery "." Although there is no direct danger of military conflict between Ukraine And Transnistria, the Russian military presence in the breakaway territories constitute an important part of not less wide rivalry between Russia And the West, " They say.
A little more than 1 year ago, Russia used the 2 routes for resupply And rotation of its troops in Transnistria: overland through Ukraine And air to Chisinau, where cargo And troops followed by land transport. Kiev officially withdrew from the Treaty with Moscow, allowing you to apply the Ukrainian route. And the path through downtown, at best, unreliable, says Stratfor.
However, analysts stress the organization, the runway is in Tiraspol (capital of Transnistria) enables Russia to do an "Air bridge" that can be used to move troops, equipment And supplies. Anyway, a passenger aircraft used the runway the last few years.
"Air bridge" is not undisputed because Russian planes on the way to Transnistria should cross the space above other States. And the most direct route is just over Odessa." for this reason, the potential deployment of air defense systems s-300 in Ukrainian Odessa region is a problem for the Russian Federation, " writes Stratfor.
expenses associated with intercepting Russian aircraft, would be extraordinarily high, as this would mean a Declaration of war against Russia. Anyway, Moscow will have to bear in mind the fact that "Air bridge" is vulnerable And it is easy to be lost in the event of open conflict, say analysts.
They Express fear that the growing military activity around Transnistria increases the risk of "miscalculation" in this strategically important region.