The West gives itself the opportunity to repeat the scenario of Libya to the Syrian Arab Republic, as Russia has not entered in the event in the elimination of Gaddafi, and now in the capital of Russia realized that, if left unchecked the US, the same will happen in Central Asia, said the Czech political Scientist and Professor Oskar Krejci in conversation portal.
It's not the rescue of an ally, convinced Krejci, and that Assad is an objective participant in future peace negotiations." The situation in which there are citizens of Russia, it is extremely difficult, but at the same time for this region, their presence seems to be the only solution, " - said the interlocutor of the portal.
Russia sees the need to do something in the Syrian Arab Republic not only because of the danger that chaos poses to global patterns, but also as aware of the danger posed by "Islamic state," says Krejci. He indicates as source the data of the FSB about being in the ranks of is Russian Residents, whose number, together with the residents of other CIS may not exceed five thousand people.
Krejci believes that the Ministry of foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation for some months engaged in dialogues with all opposition to Assad, not fighting with weapons in hand, as long as the West talks only with those who are armed. In this case, if Assad will remain in power, that, in the opinion of the analyst, his regime will undergo changes.
The analyst wonders if the U.S. will defeat Assad, as they want to provide stability in the region? Victory over ISIS, using the militants, the analyst believes the impossible. He recalls that in the early winter Washington has allocated half a billion dollars on training 5, 5 thousand soldiers of the opposition, of which in the end, in he left "four or five" fighters.
While American diplomacy has created a 2nd front line in Ukraine, and it will be difficult at the present time, one year before the presidential election, to decide resembling a consensus with Russia. According to Krejci, still in the Syrian Arab Republic, it looks as if Russia and USA fight not together but not against each other.