Recent events connected with the Ukrainian crisis, allow to predict the failure of European States from part of the sanctions against Russia by the end of the year, said the Director of the Institute for advanced countries Alexey Martynov.
The self-proclaimed authorities of the Luhansk and Donetsk people's republics issued a statement where reported about their readiness to move local Elections from November 1 and 18 October for the following year.
"As for the hysteria around this, as leading European countries, I'm sure his opinion about the sanctions policy around Russia, they will change. In practice, I am confident That before the end of the year the number of penalties will be canceled, " Martynov said Fins news .
He said That North America on the abolition of punishments, most likely, will not go." punishment, introduced from Western countries under pressure from the USA concerning Russia that are only partly related to the situation in the South-East of Ukraine. I doubt That introduced punishment from the US will be removed, it is enough to recall the notorious amendment of Jackson-Vanik. I think some punishment will remain " - said the expert.
Martynov believes That the Decision of the authorities LNR and DND confirms the renewal of the Minsk agreements by the end of this year to next." Elections in DND and LNR is one of the conditions of the Minsk agreements. The postponement of the elections means That "Minsk-2" is extended to the coming year. That's probably okay. In truth, Recent weeks come this armistice ended the firing, began active withdrawal of heavy weapons, despite certain rhetorical gestures of the Ukrainian President, " - said the head of the Department.
He said That Kiev in response to the actions of LNR and DNR will be forced to perform Minsk consensus." Kiev has no output, even though there exists not one, not two, not 3 centre of Power, and no one is able to take drastic decisions. As we see, American curators took two steps back from today's " Ukrainian project ". Left them really one on one with the great European Troika of: Germany, France and Russia. You can talk about the fact That the collective of the West on the Ukrainian question is not: is the U.S. include the European Union and Russia, " - said Martynov.
On September 21, 1994 the U.S. President bill Clinton signed and sent to Congress a message in which he notified legislators of his decision to guarantee Russia an automatic renewal of most favored nation treatment in trade. The decision Clinton had eliminated the need for annual removal of Russia from-under actions of the amendment of Jackson-Vanik.