Dmitry Mayorov. The ruble against the dollar and Euro on Tuesday night was lower during the correction on the background descended into the territory of the mark of 50 dollars per barrel prices of Brent crude oil.
The results of investigation of the reasons of the crash Malaysian Boeing in the East of Ukraine did not give cause For active play in the currency market in the Russian Federation.
The dollar calculations "tomorrow" to 19. 49 MSK increased by 0, 24 rubles to 62, 51 of the ruble, the Euro - at 0, 45 ruble to 71, 14 of the ruble, follows from the data of capital exchange.
The ruble during the session on Tuesday traded in the red amid weak oil, and fears of players on the question of the possibility of worsening of the geopolitical background.
Pressure on the Price of oil, lowered it below 50 dollars per barrel, provided the calculations of the international energy Agency (IEA), which estimated that in 2016 the growth in global demand for refined products will slow to 1, 2 million barrels per day with a gain of 1, 8 million barrels per day in 2015.
in addition, in September, OPEC continued to increase oil production to 0, eleven million barrels per day, up to 31, 57 million barrels. So, the cartel continues to own exceed the declared quota for extraction to 30 million barrels per day.
Additional pressure on the Rouble was rendered by expectations of the publication of the report of the security Council of the Netherlands to investigate the causes of the disaster Malaysian Boeing in the East of Ukraine, which could cause an increase in geopolitical risks.
However, the message from the Netherlands has had a strong impact on the market because of their neutrality.
Passenger Boeing 777 organization Malaysia Airlines, the Victim crash in Eastern Ukraine in July 2014, was shot down by a missile SAM " Buk ", which exploded on the left side of the aircraft, said the head of the security Council of the Netherlands, Tjibbe Joustra. The type of missile and circumstances of the tragedy coincided with the conclusions of the concern PVO " Almaz-Antey ".
The security Council of the Netherlands said that it is necessary Further investigation To establish the place, where Boeing launched a missile. In addition, the Council considers that the Ukrainian authorities had a good reason to close the airspace over the country.
against this background, the ruble fell again to a complete correlation with the price of oil and has played all of its oscillation. In the end, in the evening, the dollar and the Euro grew by a few tens of cents, the European currency showed stronger dynamics on the background of its increase on the Forex.
For the ruble it is important that the mark in 50 dollars for barrel survived, against this background, it is assumed rebound in oil back to local price maxima and, respectively, the growth rate of the ruble, said Alexei Mikheev from " VTB 24 ".
The ruble will continue to fluctuate within a wide range of 63 to 67 per dollar, While maintaining the prices of petroleum products close to the level of $ 50 per barrel, says Vladimir Vedeneev of management company " Raiffeisen Capital ".
as long as the dollar against the ruble will gravitate in the direction markers 63, 4, and at the same time a pair of "Euro-Ruble" aimed at the mark 72, 3, says Mikhail Krylov from the IR " Golden Hills - Kapital AM ".