Political scientists: "Norman four" will try to secure peace in Donbas

The Ministers of foreign Affairs of the countries "Norman Quartet" in Berlin will discuss the further advancement of the settlement process in Ukraine aimed at making the current ceasefire in the Donbas in the long-term peace, according to respondents Last news Russian specialists.

in Berlin on the last working day of the week in the evening dialogues of Ministers of foreign Affairs in the " Normandy format ".

"Formally, will be discussed further promotion of the Minsk process. There is no war, the actual truce, not peace, of course. How to turn a truce into a lasting peace - This is the first topic that will be discussed at the meeting, " said Fins news Deputy Dean of the faculty of world economy and world politics of the higher school of Economics Andrei Suzdaltsev.

According to the specialist, "the second important point to be discussed, - How to conduct elections. "" a very strong impression on Moscow, the Luhansk and Donetsk people's Republic made what happened in Mariupol: elections held in Donbass, occupied by Ukrainian troops, are very peculiar - the Ukrainian leadership is committed to local political forces there not come to power. This is very bad because it undermines an essential element of the Minsk agreements, " said Suzdaltsev.

according to his vision, breakthrough solutions for the current meeting will not be: "the task of the Ministers to exchange views and consult ".

The main purpose of today's meeting Deputy Director of the Center for Ukrainian studies and Belorussii MSU Bogdan Bezpalko sees in the consolidation of the ceasefire and continuation of talks on the implementation of the Minsk agreements " in the moment somewhat frozen ". According to him, dialogues in Berlin have the opportunity to become " an attempt to this process (of resolving the situation in Ukraine - ed.) from erupting into military confrontation ".

"because from the Donetsk region receive very alarming data on the transfer of technology of military power of Ukraine to Donetsk, it may be, it also caused the meeting in Berlin in order to prevent possible military action against Ukraine ", - believes the expert.

Another important issue on the agenda of the meeting in the German capital, according to Bezpalko, " what a Field will be completed in 2015, when the Minsk agreement officially cease their actions." Specialist predicts the following scenario: "either they will be extended in the form of a new agreement, or Ukraine strongly refuse to fulfil them in connection with the expiration, and then the "Norman four" will be forced to discuss the new situation in the end."


sections: Politics