Minsk consensus on the settlement of the Ukrainian drop until not earned in a higher power, says Deputy Director of the Centre for Ukrainian studies and Belorussii MSU Bogdan Bezpalko.
"Minsk consensus, of course, worked to a certain extent, But not as much as I wanted to all parties at least Donetsk and Lugansk," said He Last news on Wednesday.
As said the expert, " Kiev periodically violating the cease fire is fire, and among them of the heavy weapons." They (security forces - as amended) does not involve the removal of heavy equipment from the line of delimitation in Accordance with Minsk agreements, and at the same time, the militia began the withdrawal of heavy weapons and showed that the OSCE observers. So this kind of situation can be characterized As very fragile, shaky truce that has the ability to be disturbed, " said Bezpalko.
in his vision, "the primary factor that ensures against peaceful execution of the Minsk agreements, is the defeat of Kiev in the end, "develasco pot" and the lack of resources is currently on the fact the Ukrainian army after 2 massive defeats lost a significant number of vehicles, manpower ".
However, "while in Kiev there is a sufficiently powerful" party of war ", as long as there is an external customer to war, as long as socio-economic problems can be attributed to external aggressor, until and will remain a Danger of renewed hostilities ", says the expert.
He also believes that " the format of the contact group is not as effective As we would like "." But at present it is difficult to provide performance after large-scale bloodshed, which began in may 2014, after so many military conflicts. In this situation the main thing is to bring parties to the negotiating table, " he finished Bezpalko.
Wednesday was the second meeting of the participants of the contact group in the video conference after the Minsk talks on 12 February. The first discussion took place on 17 February. On Thursday, the contact group plans to continue working.
The resolution of the Ukrainian fall under negotiation in different formats, for example, during meetings of the contact group in Minsk with the mediation of the Russian Federation and the OSCE.
dialogues " channel four ", held on 12 February, took place against a background of a sharp aggravation of the situation in the Donbass, instigated by the Ukrainian law enforcers who, having increased strength, began to storm the position of the militia. According to the results of the meeting of the leaders of Russia, Ukraine, France and Germany adopted a package of measures involving, for example, a cease-fire in the Donbass with fifteen February, the withdrawal of heavy weapons and the development of a security zone.