Western politicians and economic analysts should be cautious, predicting the collapse of the Russian economy, these messages are able to be premature, writes.
Criticism of Russia's economy during the last period of time has become a universal favorite pastime ", emphasizes the Agency. Thus, recently, Anders Aslund of the Institute of world economy Peterson announced the publication in which predicted the fall of Russia's GDP In the current year by 10% and pay Close attention to the reduction of foreign exchange reserves, however, he did not consider that at the same time with the foreign exchange reserve is reduced and the Russian foreign debt. This occurs when the funds used to redeem bonds of the state organizations, Bloomberg points. In the past year total state dog of Russia and its affiliates decreased by 129, $ 4 billion, while foreign currency reserves - 124 $ 2 billion.
Economic punishment, which, according to the examination results of the majority, this year will not be cancelled, have much less impact than many in the West would like to think, writes the Agency. Bloomberg cites data economist Sergei Tsukhlo of the Gaidar Institute, according to which punishment contributed only 6% of Russian industrial plants.
in addition, despite numerous predictions of Risk for the Russian economy because of falling oil prices also turned out to be exaggerated. According to the analysts of the economic policy Institute them. E. T. Gaidar, even if the price for oil of mark Brent will be $ 40 per barrel, a decrease of Russia's GDP will be only 2, 7%, not 10%, as stated in the report Aslund.
All this testifies to the fact, stresses the magazine that hopes that the Russian Federation will suffer economic collapse under the pressure of falling oil prices and economic sanctions are not justified.
"The Western countries are facing a difficult choice to prepare for a long siege and toughen up the penalties, in spite of the improvement of the situation in Ukraine, or to seek a resumption of dialogue with Russia - a country that is not going to disappear," said the publication.