The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine did not rule out the slow decline of the economy in 2016 to 7%, in 2017 – up to 3%, according to a published on the portal of Ukrainian government decree.
This forecast inflation according to the pessimistic scenario are 16, 4% in 2016 and 9, 7% in 2017, reports UNIAN. According to pessimistic estimates of nominal GDP in 2016 will be 1, 9 trillion UAH in 2017-m - 2, 1 trillion UAH. Profit factories in 2016 will not exceed 335 billion in 2017-m - 373, 4 billion UAH. The wage Fund in 2016 will be about 515, 7 billion USD With an average wage of 4 208 thousand UAH (about 182 dollars) in 2017 year 553, 6 billion At an average salary in 4 567 thousand UAH (about 198$). Unemployment according to the pessimistic scenario in 2016 will amount to 11% in 2017 will be reduced to 10, 5%. The Ukrainian government forecasts growth of exports and imports in 2016 to $ 52 billion and 52, $ 4 billion, respectively, and the fall in 2017 50, $ 4 billion (exports) and 50, 7 billion (imports). On Wednesday, the head of VTB Andrey Kostin said that Ukraine is in the default position and without external financial assistance, the banking sector will not survive. However, According to the head of the international monetary Fund (IMF) Christine Lagarde, financial aid Kiev depends on how will stabilizerautomatically in the East of Ukraine. Remember, international monetary Fund believes that the decline of the economy of Ukraine in 2015 will amount to 5, 5%. In addition, the IMF Experts believe that in 2015 Ukrainian exports will fall on the background of the overall deterioration in the trade. The IMF expects inflation in Ukraine in 2015 at the level of 2014, assuming a price increase of 25%. We emphasize that the increase in the prices of communal services in Ukraine is a direct consequence of the conditions of the issued country of the international monetary Fund. Thus, the national Commission for government regulation of the electricity market of Ukraine in the framework of the implementation of the Memorandum with the international monetary Fund raised the minimum tariff for gas for residents to 3 thousand 600 UAH per 1 thousand Cubic meters (about 134 dollars) from 1 April. The increase in gas tariffs for all categories of customers Usually up 280%. In addition, tariffs on light for citizens of Ukraine will be increased in 3, 5 times over 2 years. Economists will prognoziruyut that in fact the people of Ukraine will not pay the new rates. on 12 February, the head of the IMF Christine Lagarde said that the international monetary Fund (IMF) and Kiev agreed on the allocation of Ukraine 17, $ 5 billion for a period of four years. The agreement between the IMF and Ukraine until approved by the Board of Directors of the Fund. The Board of Directors of the IMF plans to discuss a new anti-crisis program for Ukraine March eleven.