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17 of April, 20:01

Analysts: the share market of the Russian Federation in the upcoming week will rise, the ruble will weaken


MOSCOW, 17 APR - RIA Novosti/Prime, Dmitry Mayorov, Elena Lykov. Analysts of investment companies and credit organizations expect the upcoming week to a slight increase in stock market of the Russian Federation and the weakening of the ruble to the dollar and the Euro, inform the data sociologicheskogo research conducted Last news .

According to consensus forecast, based on the expectations of analysts, the MICEX and RTS indexes per week will increase by 0, 8% 2, 6% respectively.

the price for oil of mark Brent will drop to $ 2, up to 62 USD per barrel and the Euro-dollar exchange rate will remain around 1, 08, Analysts say. The ruble to fall against the dollar at 1, 5 ruble, and the Euro by 1 Ruble.



The Russian stock market this week showed mixed trends across the major indices.

"The MICEX index was in fact sideways, despite the formal change values according to the results of the week. The RTS index has increased, But mostly due to the growth of the ruble, " says chief analyst at Nordea Bank Dmitry Savchenko.

in the end, according to his statement, in the market to create the potential for a possible moderate increase on the MICEX index and side trend for RTS index next week.

Head of corporate, sectoral and regional analysis economic research Center MIA "Russia today" Sergey Arkoun believes that the Russian stock market in the upcoming week will show weak growth, testing the mark of 1700 points on the MICEX index.

"The market will provide in relation to calm the situation in Ukraine and the continuing high prices of petroleum products. Better market conditions so will look to the organization of the oil and gas sector, " he said.

Arkaev emphasizes that the pressure for petroleum products due to increase of production in the OPEC States offset by the statistics of the USA, while confirming that the market growth of shale oil at least stopped. In his vision, a barrel of Brent by the end of the week would have cost $ 62.



Analysts are unanimous prognoziruyut some reduction of the ruble against the dollar next week.

"First, the rebound is long overdue. Secondly, the Ruble is oversold, the budget began to fall out of income, and it's Not very good with a deficit of 3 trillion rubles. It is possible that the dollar/Ruble will spend the next five trading days in the range of 50 to 53, 50, "says Anna Bodrova from the organization of" Alpari ".

Alexander Kostyukov from IK "Veles Capital" and Andrew Golov from the organization RoboForex also expect a correction of the ruble, which failed to gain a foothold below 50 per dollar.

Analysts RIA specialist ", in addition to a technical correction, and expect increasing speculative play against the national currency in the expectation that the monetary authorities will Not allow the ruble is excessively strengthened due to possible losses of the economy.

"However, significant weakening of the ruble be in force as macroeconomic data, and thanks to the ongoing tax period," they claim.



Another April week will Not be the most informative in terms of macroeconomic statistics, highlights Bodrov.

The U.S. will publish data on sales of new buildings in March, sales in the secondary market and orders for durable goods. The Eurozone important statistics is Not assumed.

The attention of the capital markets will remain focused on Greece, who can Not Decide to pay down the debt or not, says Bodrov.

with his own hand, the Head of Department of operations on the Russian stock market IR "freedom Finance" Georgiy Vaschenko believes that external background will determine the records of the American organizations.

"But even good reporting does Not guarantee improvement of the market, the more there are factors that hinder economic development: the slowing down of the increase of China's GDP and the strengthening of the dollar against the Euro. I do Not expect a significant increase of the S


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