Bremmer suggested Russia's actions in relation to Turkey

The crash of the Russian su-24 shot down a Turkish fighter, provoked the highest point of tension in relations between Russia and Turkey. Moscow called the incident a " planned provocation ". Turkey, a NATO member, said it was defending its airspace. American analyst Ian Bremmer tried to predict what will be the reaction of the President of the Russian Federation and what are the consequences of waiting for the couple of countries.

According to an analyst, strong rhetoric, Vladimir Putin, does not it mean that it will be followed by actions detrimental to Russian-Turkish partnership." There is a big reason why Vladimir Putin will not be hard to choose the escalation of the situation in the form of the answer is Turkey, and the reason is because many economic ties between the countries, " he said in explanation.

"Do not underestimate Putin's ability to be economically pragmatic," said Bremmer, noting that the Russian Federation continues to supply gas to Ukraine despite the conflict between the two countries. In addition, the Russian President was successful in establishing the cooperation with the European States after it was declared the "isolation" of Russia, and he literally will not be beneficial to engage in even greater antagonism towards the NATO members, says Bremmer. Both countries depend between them in the economic aspect: Turkey, together with Egypt, is the largest buyer of Russian wheat. In 2014, 4% of Turkish exports - mostly textiles and foodstuffs worth nearly $6 billion - was sent to the Russian Federation.

However, from the rupture of economic ties more strongly affected Turkey, said the analyst. An important area of interaction between the countries is tourism: in the past year in Turkey was resting 3, 3 million tourists from Russia. In addition, Turkey is heavily dependent on Russia in the energy sector - more than half of Turkey's natural gas supplies of the Russian Federation. Turkey also signed a Treaty with Russia to $20 billion with Russia on the construction of a nuclear power plant in the country.

"The initial reaction to Putin's words about" the stab in the back by the accomplices of the terrorists " - is so warlike, how much you can imagine. But Putin often uses harsh rhetoric, But also has a wider desire for which is worth to play." Despite the fact that relations between Putin and Erdogan deteriorate, a common desire among countries remain, and the relationship between them." I don't think [the incident] will literally tear the relationship between Russia and Turkey, to seriously increase tensions between Russia and NATO very quickly or change the coalition strategy in the Syrian Arab Republic, " said Bremmer.


sections: Politics