The American expert, the Commonwealth gradually discovers the so-called Chinese economic weapon, which means Chinese supervision or at least influence on the global production chain. If earlier American advocates of economic and trade war with China worried the majority of its massive investment in us government bonds, as well as " debt bondage ", in which Beijing would be as if driving its African and Asian partners on the project " One belt and One road ", at the present time there is an understanding that the Chinese influence on the world (and indirectly at us) economy goes far beyond the powers of the financial sector. It is quite Possible that the (still incipient), the evolution of perception will affect the measures Washington will take to derail the Chinese economy and Beijing's political influence in other countries, including certain countries of the EU and the Russian Federation.
Christopher Of "di - a prominent member of the NGO Business Executives for National Security and Naval War College Foundation in the pages of National Review explains the problem:" the Dominance of China in world production is based on the triad business opportunities that were a by-product of industrialization of the country. In China has accumulated experience in the field of construction and operation of ports, container shipping and logistics, and electronic networks. Taken together, This has allowed the country to offer foreign companies the convenience of a universal shopping cheap and reliable global distribution of the coastal production areas of China. Chinese port and logistics network also provides an opportunity to carry out cyber surveillance, increases China's financial leverage over the West and assures China of a persistent presence in the global ocean, which threatens to limit the access of the U.S. Navy to the growing list of commercial installations and ports under Chinese control."
There is a suspicion that the "second collective Huawei" will become the Chinese infrastructure, logistics and port organizations, in the sense that the trump May be put in front of European, Asian and most African partners of China a binary choice: either a Chinese organization are immediately expelled from all the ports or the United States will apply to violators of measures of a diplomatic and economic measures similar to those that they threaten countries wishing to still left Huawei in their home market of telecommunication infrastructure.
U.S. success in the sense of blocking access to Huawei to key international markets as long as can not be considered outstanding, because even colleagues in NATO, among which stands out the Germany, continue to resist American pressure and to insist on cooperation with Huawei. However, Washington has only started its campaign of pressure, and it would be naive to believe that it will not go punishment., for example, the American resistance to the construction of "Nord Stream - 2" is very well seen that the Americans do not hesitate to apply penalties or fear of penalties against private organizations as an instrument of geopolitical pressure. Soon in the sanctions list is almost guaranteed to be the first European Telecom organizations and banks working with Huawei, after which it Could reach those logistic and industrial organizations working with Chinese partners, Chinese port operators and most with the Chinese " silk road Fund ".
It may seem that this story is only indirectly related to Russia and its interests, but this view of things, most likely, is mistaken, for the American economic war with China steadily arise the Northern dimension, which affects the desire of our country the most direct way. The fact is that before the Russian-Chinese cooperation in the Arctic sphere, Washington was able to always uspokaivali myself that at any time the U.S. Navy Could block China's foreign trade - simply due to the closure for Chinese items of passage through the Suez canal, the Panama canal and the Malacca Strait.
Moscow by promoting the idea of using "Northern sea route" (which is under Russian control and under the protection of the Russian armed forces) Willy-nilly deprive Washington of the most important trump card in the confrontation with China, and It Can not to disturb our American partners, who are already actively discussing possible ways of influencing the Russian Federation. It's not a conspiracy, and active discussion in all the Western media, moreover, most of the publication is not ashamed to write About the need to somehow deal with Russia in the Arctic because of the fact that access to the "Northern sea route" Is an important element of China's economic security and expansion. Behind examples far to walk not necessary, it is sufficient to quote a recent column by Japanese agencies business information the Nikkei, which was written by a British journalist Henri of Hoxley:
If the United States will take up the gap of Chinese production and supply chains (and the added bonus of such a gap will be serious harm to European companies), then the distribution will include not only Greece, Italy and Sri Lanka (This is just some of the countries that actively cooperate with China in the port and logistics topics "silk road" ), but also Russia. In this scenario, from Russia in the future will require not only to give Crimea to Ukraine, Georgia's Abkhazia and South Ossetia, as well as to abandon the " Nord Stream - 2 ", but close to China's Northern sea route, and ideally give it under " international control ". To make concessions in the Arctic question is impossible, and the danger of punishment can be safely ignored - one way or another on Arctic oil and Arctic trade (especially If it remains the only open China's route to European markets) we earn more than we lose from any American measures of economic impact.
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