Dmitry Mayorov. The ruble is reduced on the first day of the week in the evening on the fears of currency deficit in the Russian Federation, ignoring the outbreak of the September tax period.
The dollar calculations " tomorrow " to 19. 21 MSK increased by 24 kopecks up to 38, 66 of the ruble, the Euro by 10 cents, to 49, 56 ruble, follows from the data of capital exchange. The value of the currency basket (0, 55 dollars and 0.45 euros) grew by 18 cents compared with the level it was last closed and was 43, 57 ruble.
The dollar today settlements on the first day of the week increased by 8 cents to 38, 56 ruble, Euro 8 cents to 49, 56 ruble.
The Euro on the Forex 19. 20 GMT was 1, 2820 dollar against 1, 2835 dollar on the previous closing.
The ruble in the first day of the week remained under pressure. Players continue to buy the main reserve currency for rubles, fearing monetary deficit due to service corporate loans (year-end organization of the Russian Federation are obliged to pay more than 100 billion dollars).
During the day it was noted wide variations caused by the accumulation of liquidity for the payment of the VAT.
" this week on the VAT payment, severance and excise taxes will need about 550 billion, which will force exporters to increase its presence on the local currency market ", - said Vladimir yevstifeev of Bank Zenit.
The increased Rate of the dollar and the Euro against the ruble creates profitable conversion rules for currency training exporters for obligatory payments to the budget.
However, the balance on the market shifted towards demand, and this forces the dollar and the Euro to creep up in the direction of the local maxima, from which they retreated after the commencement of the provision of Central Bank currency liquidity through operations currency swaps.
Negative internal background, as well as falling to 97 USD rates on petroleum products do not contribute to the strengthening of the ruble in the foreign exchange market, emphasizes Sergey Kochergin from the organization Exness.
" in the short term, the pair dollar/Ruble will Probably continue to consolidate in the range 38, 20-38, 80 rubles, " he said.
in lack of further progress in the resolution of the Ukrainian conflict tax payments in the Russian Federation does not support the ruble, and the external news background (in particular, the speech of the head of the ECB Mario Draghi) Players react very cautiously, adds Yuri Kravchenko from the investment company Veles Capital.
in his vision, in the foreign exchange market in the near future you can expect to preserve the existing balance of forces.
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