The ruble in the evening actively increases with rise in price of oil and the tax period

Dmitry Mayorov. The ruble against the bi-currency basket on Thursday night significantly increased against the background of rising oil prices. The ruble has tried to win the Euro level in 58 rubles to the weakening of European currencies against the dollar on Forex.

The dollar calculations " tomorrow " to 18. 32 MSK fell 59 cents to 46, 27 ruble, the Euro - 67 cents to 58, 07 ruble, follows from the data of capital exchange. The value of the currency basket (0, 55 dollars and 0.45 euros) decreased by 63 pennies compared with the level it was last closed and was 51, 58 of the ruble.



The ruble on Thursday showed mostly positive direction. Ruble liquidity decreased slightly after the introduction of the restrictions of the Central Bank providing it. Activation of the tax period in Russia strengthened in this regard, the demand for rubles.

a positive background for the Russian currency creates and correctional growth of prices for oil products in the territory of 79 dollars per barrel for Brent.

However, speculators have no incentive to actively play on the reduction of the ruble because of the clearly expressed the readiness of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation to hold hard currency intervention to maintain financial stability. The uncertainty of the parameters and conditions of the beginning of such interventions as long as it keeps the players from effective actions, most on the background of the tax period.

as a result, the decrease of the Euro against the dollar in Forex resulted in a temporary decline of the European currency below 58 rubles, which was not observed from November 13. The dollar is approaching the level 46 rubles, below which he remained from November 13.



External signals contribute to the strengthening of the Russian currency, emphasizes Ivan Kopeikin from BCS Express ".

" Published yesterday, the protocols of the last meeting of the fed was sufficiently soft, and support the currencies of developing countries. However, on the side of the weaker rouble at present is the tense situation in Ukraine, which can again cause sanctions against Russia, " he said.

" so, the external background for the Russian currency in General inconsistent and does not provide signals on strong motion. The range of possible fluctuations is quite wide. Strong resistance near the pair dollar/Ruble is on the mark 48, and support - in area 45, 5-46 ruble, " said Kopeikin.

Paying VAT, banks almost immediately begin to prepare for the next tax payments - severance and excise taxes, reminds Yuri Kravchenko from the investment company Veles Capital.

" This factor keeps the chances For further strengthening of the ruble, which, However, is still likely due to the dynamics of prices in the commodities market: if oil prices continue on their current growth and reach $ 79 dollars, us currency may go on the Russian market to 46 rubles. Otherwise, very likely return $ level 46, 5 ruble, " said Kravchenko.

Sergey Kochergin from the organization Exness also expects the dollar decrease to 46 rubles in the near future.


sections: Politics