Violation of Kiev conditions of the Minsk agreement will endanger the existence of the current political regime, writes expert in the field of international politics and law, ex-associate of the Royal court of London Alexander Mercouris on the Internet representation.
the Creator of the article believes that the Ukrainian conflict is the product of a political movement, unable to reach a consensus with their opponents. Before the contract is February 21, 2014 signing and violation of the agreements worked on protesters, but then the situation changed.
"Even despite the fact that they have violated this agreement, seizing power through armed revolution for the next day. Since then, the dynamics have changed in the opposite direction ", - said Mercurys.
the expert emphasizes that in the subsequent conflict, the new government of Ukraine has signed more agreements than worn out, but all of them broke, because of this rule, each new contract become increasingly hard for Kiev. While the country's new leadership was in breach of the Geneva and the Minsk agreement, signed in April and September of last year, respectively. February 12, 2015 was signed a new Minsk agreement, the rules became more stringent for Ukraine.
"Judging from past experience, it is likely to predict that the former protesters of Euromayday that control what is left from Ukraine, will violate the agreement dated February 12, 2015, as they violated the agreement of February 21, 2014 April 17, 2014 5 September 2014. When they do, they will suffer another defeat that will cause great losses of territory and inhabitants. The rules for the next contract, which they will have to take will be even tougher. After a certain point, this dynamic will make their position untenable, which would call into question the possibility of the existence of the current regime, " says Koenig.
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