Ukraine warned of a possible power shift in the " Georgian scenario "

Ukraine can occur legitimate change of power by the " Georgian scenario ", when the running of the country come in Pro-Russian policy, according to the report of the analytical group Da Vinci AG.
"The current economic and social situation in Ukraine leads To a sharp loss of rating of all major political actors both in the government and the opposition. Increases the protest electorate and the number of people who don't trust anyone from acting politicians. By the beginning of the second half of the autumn of this trend will be strengthened " - quoted by UNIAN report.
Analysts stress that increases the likelihood of the emergence of entirely new political movements and leaders who are still not active and spend only point of the action." These political forces will use Ukrainian Patriotic discourse and the appropriate symbols, to stand on a formally anti-Russian positions, to be in opposition niche and try to get a chart on a populist wave, appealing To recovery in Ukraine, the country's social categories and justice, " reads the report Da Vinci AG. By results of examination of experts, local elections in the fall of 2015 will test the capacity of these forces. In the case of a positive result for them, Ukraine will begin a campaign to discredit Parliament demanding new elections of the legislature." fresh elections are an opportunity to bring victory to Pro-Russian projects and to bring to power a government fully controlled by the Kremlin, but not formally standing on the Pro - Russian positions, " Analysts say." In this scenario, Ukraine expects a protracted Crisis of political authority through the Verkhovna Rada/Cabinet - leader. New zone of political turbulence will stop attempts at reform, will throw Ukraine even further in economic terms, will lead To a new anti-unitary Constitution and provide an opportunity For further dividing the state into zones of influence, " according to Analysts. Da Vinci Analytic Group is the analytical group, founded in 2002. Conducts strategic and tactical analysis of the development of local conflicts, threats and risks for foreign governments and ways of achieving peace. Declares that predicted the development of events in Libya for six months before their commencement. Moscow has stated many times that it is not involved in the events in southeastern Ukraine, is not a party to domestic conflict and is interested in Ukraine overcame political and economic crisis. In the capital of Russia emphasize that all the charges against her are unproven. Ukraine is now in a serious political crisis, which affects its economy and the public sector, in fact the country is on the verge of default. Prime Minister of Ukraine Arseniy Yatsenyuk stated before that in 2015, the country faces the challenge to " survive ".


sections: Politics