The national Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has lowered its forecast GDP to drop from 7, 5 to 9, 5% in 2015 With inflation at the end of the year 47, 8%, report Bank.
NBU predicts the decrease of the GDP in the 2nd quarter of fifteen, 3% in the 3rd quarter, 8%, 9% and an increase of 2, 5% in the fourth quarter, reports the news Agency.
According to forecasts of the national Bank, nominal GDP in the 2nd quarter must be 443 billion (21 billion dollars), in the 3rd quarter - 529 billion hryvnia ($25 billion) in the fourth quarter - 607 billion (29 billion dollars) and for the year - 1 946 billion hryvnia (over $ 92 billion). Inflation in the 2nd quarter of this year, According to the forecast of the NBU should be 16, 9%, 3-m - 1, 1% in the fourth ? 4%. First national Bank projected decrease in GDP in the 1st quarter by 15%, in the 2nd - 10, 2% in the 3rd quarter by 5, 7% and growth of 2% in the fourth quarter and for the year - 7, 5%. Remember, 30 June The Economist has described Ukraine as the worst economy in the world. This verdict was made after comparison of countries by GDP growth. According to these data, since April of last year, the Ukrainian economy contracted by 6, 5%. 2nd place went to Libya with a decrease of 6, 4% 3-m ? Macau, which GDP dropped by 6%. In fourth place ? Equatorial Guinea with a decrease in GDP by 5, 5%. Fifth place was taken by Russia, whose economy in one year decreased by 4%. Ukraine is now in fact remains on the brink of default. From the report of the international monetary Fund that second banks of Ukraine for the risk of loan defaults after Nigeria. The total debt of Ukraine is defined in $ 50 billion, in 2014 it amounted to 71% of GDP, and in 2015, according to forecasts of the national Bank of Ukraine, will reach 93% of GDP. In addition, the world Bank has lowered its forecast of a fall of the Ukrainian economy this year with a 2, 3% to 7, 5%. The head of the National Bank of Ukraine Valeria Gontareva has recognized that the economy of her country had reached the bottom.