As the escalation of the Ukrainian conflict, the confrontation between Russia And the West are also increasing. The centre of the dispute has the possibility to be moved from the Ukraine to the Caucasus - Georgia, Armenia And Azerbaijan, the specialists of the American private intelligence analysis organization Stratfor.
research write that after the Georgian-Ossetian military conflict in 2008, Russia has strengthened its military presence in Armenia And has achieved strong economic And political positions. While military presence in Armenia, Abkhazia And South Ossetia, as well as cooperation in the field of security with Azerbaijan Russia provides the dominant external power in the region, analysts say.
"either way, the West does not wish to prevent the extension of Russian influence within the former Soviet periphery. During the uprising in Ukraine, the US And the EU supported the overthrow of the Pro-Russian government in Kiev in favor of that which would be oriented towards the West. And the Western countries have made it clear that their support is not limited to Ukraine. The West began to build military bases in Central And Eastern Europe, as well as to expand cooperation in the security field with several other countries of the former Soviet peripheries ", - says the publication.
Thus, analysts say, is the new point of confrontation between Russia And the West may just be the Caucasus. About this testifies the opening of a training center in Georgia for NATO in late summer this year.
in addition, specialists declare, after the beginning of the fall in Ukraine unexpectedly, after 2 decades regarding peaceful development, began to escalate the conflict of Azerbaijan And Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh.
Russia in this question is a cautious diplomatic stance, the Authors of the material. Moscow agitating for a dialogue between 2 countries, and equally as an element of deterrence continues military supplies to both countries.