Analysts of investment companies and credit organizations expect in the upcoming week of increasing share market of the Russian Federation and of the ruble against the Euro, the dollar against the ruble grows up, inform the data sociologicheskogo research conducted Last news .
According To consensus forecast, based on expectations of analysts, the MICEX index for the week Increased by 2, 3%, and RTS - on 3%. The price for oil of mark Brent increase by 1 dollar above $ 49 per barrel and the Euro / dollar exchange rate will remain around 1, 12 dollar. The ruble against the dollar will decrease by 47 cents, as against the Euro will grow by 21 kopecks, expect Analysts.
in the upcoming week reduction in world stock markets may be suspended, says Roman Tkachuk from the organization " Pragmatics ". The reason lies in the end of the 3rd quarter and overall fiscal year in the U.S. - traditionally, managers of large funds are trying to Express support for the indices to show a positive financial result, He explains.
"in recent weeks Oil has traded in a narrow corridor 48-50 dollars Brent. To influence the quotations of "black gold" (and, accordingly, the ruble exchange rate), have the opportunity the results of the meeting Vladimir Putin and Barack Hussein Obama at the UN General Assembly (will be discussed the situation in the Syrian Arab Republic and Ukraine). Another factor - the End of the tax period in the Russian Federation is not in favor of the ruble in the coming weeks He may show weakness, " He commented.
A little oil will rise in price on the background of instability in the middle East and voiced variants of the decision of the Syrian issue at the UN General Assembly, says Andrey Manko from " RIA chart ".
the market of the Russian Federation to respond positively to the dynamics of oil quotes, in addition, according to " RIA chart ", the forthcoming meeting of the Russian President With the heads of other countries (in the 1st turn the heads of the Western countries) have the opportunity to bring in the heads of investors some relief on the issue of further relations of Russia with the countries of the West.
Ongoing discussion on the question of withdrawal of devaluation of funds coming exporters will be an important driver for the Russian market, but gradually the tension of investors associated With a possible increase of the tax burden on the oil organization, will fall, said Vasily Tanurcov from the organization " Veles Capital ".
"We expect That the markets have every reason to start to play the scenario of a gradual increase in the fed rate (Which implies a lack of increase in real dollar rates) closer to the end of the year. That gives us a reason to continue to wait for oil prices in the range of 50 to 52 dollars per barrel mark Brent, and gold in the area 1150-1200 per ounce, " says Eugene Loktionov from PSB.
He also is waiting to ease the pressure on assets EAT That can Express support for the Russian stock market, which in terms of the strong ruble (in anticipation of sequestration and because of the tax period) can return to a mark of 1700 points on the MICEX index and 820-840 - on the RTS.
on the background of accumulated oversold the market in the upcoming week there are chances to make a bounce up, said Sergei Danilov from " BCS Premier ". From a technical point of view there are two levels of 1650 and 1665, and best-case scenario during a correction, you can see the movement of these borders, He says.
"at the same time about a complete reversal of speech now does not go. Drivers for sustainable enhancement Until it is not visible. In General, the picture on the Russian market already for a long time characterizes one concept - outset", He comments.
in the area of 1735 points on the MICEX is the upper boundary of the sideways corridor in which the auction is held in March of this year, stressed the expert. If that threshold is passed - and this requires some significant positive - will be the first to 1755 points, and then maybe to 1800-1810. As long as the same accounts over and over again "get out" above 1700 points, adds Daniel.
it is expected slight increase from the RTS and MICEX indexes to levels and 1720 870 points respectively, notes the analyst of "Alpari" Anna Kokoreva.
Improve could be the level of 1680 points on the MICEX index, the next support level after breaking through the 200 day average - 1570 points - previous multi-month low, says Georgy Vashchenko from the organization " freedom Finance ".
The end of the tax year in Russia is not in favor of the ruble, and in the coming weeks He may show weakness, says Roman Tkachuk from the organization " Pragmatics ".
World markets will look increasingly, the dollar probably will continue low-key strengthen, in this regard, in the 2nd part of the week, the situation for the ruble could worsen, according to Denis Davydov of "Nordea Bank"