Dmitry Mayorov. The ruble against the dollar in the evening increased, slightly decreasing by euros during the consolidation on the background of attempts oil to stay near $ 49 per barrel Brent.
in addition, the beginning of October of the tax period increased the demand for rubles, which resulted in growth rates in the market of rouble loans.
The dollar calculations "tomorrow" to 19. 55 Moscow time has decreased on 0, 21 ruble - to 62, 83 of the rouble, the Euro Rate grew to 0, 06 ruble - to 71, 90 ruble, follows From the data of capital exchange.
The ruble during the session on Wednesday tried to stabilize at the background of the uncertain dynamics of the oil market.
Market players of oil in the process of assessing data, OPEC crude oil production, as well as the return of Iranian oil to the world market.
Oil cartel countries grew by 0, eleven million barrels per day, up to 31, 57 million barrels, which further exceeds the stated OPEC quota production of 30 million barrels a day.
The Iranian Parliament, according to media reports, blessed Tuesday a draft law on the implementation of the Treaty with the " six " of international mediators on the nuclear program of the country. The agreement on the lifting of sanctions with Iran will pave the way for increased oil production in the country up to 3, 6 million barrels a day.
in addition, investors still react to on Tuesday released a report, international energy Agency. According to the report, the rate of increase in global demand for oil in 2015 will accelerate to five - year highs on 1, 8 million barrels per day, and in 2016 the growth will slow to 1, 2 million barrels per day.
Lastly, the weak macroeconomic statistics of China in September adds negativity to the markets of risky assets (oil and ruble).
As long as the geopolitical backdrop remains neutral for the ruble on the background of "digesting" the market reports on the collapse of the Malaysian Boeing in Eastern Ukraine last summer, and reports of intensified fighting in the Syrian Arab Republic.
Support to rouble has started in the middle of the month tax period, when traditionally increases the demand for ruble liquidity. So, the MosPrime rate for overnight loans again fixed above the level of the key rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation and on Wednesday was eleven, 58% per annum.
in the end, dollar and Euro After a substantial (for a few rubles) meltdown last week trying to stabilize this week. After Bouncing up on the first day of the week and Tuesday's main reserve currency on Wednesday evening, weakly changing to the level it was last closed. In General, the bi-currency basket (0, 55 to the dollar and 0.45 euros) to the current time offset almost half the decline last week.
currently a little alarming oil Price in ruble terms, said Ivan Kopeikin From the organization " BCS Express ". This indicator fell in the territory of 3100 rubles per barrel, which was in practice the lower boundary of the medium-term channel and talks about may be more weak dynamics of the Russian currency in relation to oil in the near future, he said.
"Positive development for the ruble should also highlight the beginning of the tax period in the country. Currently, the pair is "dollar-Ruble" is trading close to strong resistance around 63. For this reason, taking into account the short-term downward trend, the likelihood of a resumption of decline are quite high, " - said Kopeikin.
Traders need to take into account the possibility of rise in price of a pair of " $ "up to 63, 3 and the" Euro-Ruble "- up to 72, 3 during the day, said Mikhail Krylov From the IR " Golden Hills - Capital AM.
"The balance of risks shifted in the direction of increase the greenback, because the expected decrease of production in America at a rate of about 100 thousand barrels per month, together with held the actual folding of shale gas projects will be compensated by increased production in the Russian Federation and Iran for another six months," he said.