Stratfor has analyzed how Russia could take revenge economically Turkey

Moscow may apply to Ankara a number of economic measures, which will be a direct consequence of undermining relations between Russia and Turkey caused by the incident with the Russian su-24. Trade relations between 2 countries increasingly are concentrated in a few sectors of the economy, the most important Of which are energy, metals and agriculture. How in Turkey, analyzed intelligence center Stratfor.

the report stated that Turkey imports From Russia about 10% of its total imports, while at the same time, the share of exports to Russia From Turkey is about 4%.

Most important, analysts say, Turkey is the energy sector. According to researchers, Russia is The biggest For Turkey external source of natural gas. From Russia comes about 55% (about 27 billion cubic meters) is only required For domestic consumption of Turkey fuel.

For comparison, the authors continue, this is 13% of the total volume of natural gas exports From Russia.

For the supply of fuel to Turkey, Russia will use two pipelines, each Of which has a capacity of 16 billion cubic meters. First, it is written in the report, this "Blue stream" - a direct route across the Black sea, and secondly, the gas pipeline passing through Ukraine, Romania and Bulgaria.

The remaining volume of gas Turkey receives From Azerbaijan via the South Caucasus gas pipeline, From Iran through the gas pipeline " the Tabriz-Dogubayazit ", as well as From Algeria and other countries through its own liquefied natural gas terminal in the sea of Marmara.

"The biggest challenge For Turkey will be the situation If Russia decides to stop the supply of natural gas - Turkey is a little room For manoeuvre to increase the supply of fuel. All non-Russian routes for gas supplies to Turkey are at the limit of its capacity. If Russia will stop to pump gas, Turkey will lose 27 billion cubic meters of gas and Turkey would not be able to detect even half of the missing fuel from other suppliers, " writes Stratfor.

But in the capital of Russia, analysts, and other options remain, including Osinovka sale of metals (aluminum Turkey buys from Russia about 31% of the required amount), wheat (70% of which is covered by Turkey due to the Russian import). In addition, Russia may impose ban on imports of Turkish agricultural products as well as stop for a time travel letter.


sections: Politics