The Central Bank has prepared 3 scenarios of development of economy of Russia for the next 3 years. in the baseline scenario, the average price of oil will drop to 63 USD in 2019 and $ 55 per barrel in 2020-2021 years. In the 2nd option, provided the price of oil above 75 dollars, and Under the risky scenario, the Central Bank laid the reducing the price to $ 35. The baseline scenario and the option with unchanged prices of petroleum products differ in terms of external conditions for the Russian economy, because in the medium term, linked to the uncertainty is highest. in risk scenario inherent deterioration in the external environment. In early November, the Head of the Central Bank Elvira Nabiullina noted that he does not consider the high probability of conditions risk scenario in the years 2019-2021. All 3 variants of economy development implies maintaining annual inflation close to 4 %. In this case, allowed small fluctuations. The reaction of the state Duma in the state Duma took note prepared by the economists the directions for the single state monetary policy. The head of the Department on financial markets Anatoly Aksakov said that the first time a Central Bank speaks about the fact that 4% inflation