The closer the year 2020, When the ends of the transit agreement on gas supplies from Russia to the European Union through the Ukrainian territory, the More awesome news coming to us from the glorious city of Kiev. Which, of course, When something might have been " the mother of Russian cities ", But What is the position of practical economic thinking has become in our days there without glasses can not tell. for example, as it turns out, the Ukrainian officials say That now in fact found an alternative to Russian gas. For example, the operator of the gas transportation system of Ukraine is studying the option of importing natural gas from Qatar. Moreover, the Director of the operator of the Ukrainian GTS Sergey Makogon generally believed That the only - And even then not a very serious obstacle in the way of "cheap" Qatari gas to the area of the Square is Turkey And its stupid rules prohibiting the passage of tankers of the appropriate class through the Bosphorus. But with this issue, too, says makohon, it is possible to " work out ". What can I say. Utopian constructions of the most various "schemes" for the delivery of Qatari gas to Ukraine in this situation is to disassemble generally pretty pointless: suffice it to say That on 7 of the eight existing LNG terminals in Qatar is physically no nezakonchennyj volumes for the years 2020-2022. There are long-term contracts in the 1st place with South Korea, Japan And China. Another terminal There simply belongs to the UK, And here it does not make sense to discuss. And force Qatar to break these contracts for the implementation of the "Ukrainian" schema - Still have to try extremely hard. Even if the money initially large Than Qatar currently receives (about a different kind of "penalty" we're not Even talking, in Ukraine know perfectly well That comply with the Treaty Only pants: such is the democratic business culture, we are the same Qataris do not understand). But Ukraine And differs thus from that of Qatar in the 1st place by the fact That Qatar has the money. And Ukraine - no. And, unfortunately, it is not expected That should be very clearly understood. This is the main unknown how-to-overcome obstacle to Qatari gas to Ukraine. Turkey with its international conventions regulating shipping through the Bosphorus, then a little secondary. The letter from officials - the Director of the operator of the gas transportation system of Ukraine Sergey Makogon - tells us about the main thing: the citizens "on the ground" in this area well are aware That "Russian transit" it since the new year, will be originally lost. That's why concerned about any, Even the most exotic variants of deliveries of blue fuel. Because the alternative here is the possibility to Only be a humanitarian disaster. currently will try to explain why. in reality, there's the idea of the notorious " reverse ", Which - And this no one not Even concealed - is Only financial, not technological, And this is the whole of its charm. Ukrainian operator as if it buys gas from the Slovaks, margin sawing beneficiaries, And the gas is in the Ukrainian economy And the population, in spite of the North Mordor, whose aggressive gas Kiev, of course, just can't buy. Here's the problem: When stopping the transit of Russian gas to the European Union on the Ukrainian corridor is lost, And the meaning of this, God forgive me, " reverse ". When Russian gas is simply technically will not be in the pipe, it can at least " Slovak ", Even though "American" virtual method call: It is physically There that in the end will not occur. And this all interested in the "scheme" persons simply do not have the opportunity to not understand. Well, to call faux left without heat And light in the coldest month of the year giant European plain, except the obvious humanitarian disaster, we, frankly, quite difficult to understand. however, the situation There is in truth, to put it mildly, breath-taking. Explain. Now the signing of a new transit agreement Between the Russian And Ukrainian sides now legally impossible: it is contrary to EU law. as long as according to the calculations of the possible extension of the old contract to the new conditions, But also for the Russian And Ukrainian sides at Least are required to sign a settlement agreement during the Stockholm arbitration. And that as long as again Even technically impossible, because to sign it corny no one: Ukraine is a very long time was busy with the election, to at least appoint the person responsible for conducting the ongoing negotiations. And this sadly summed up as long as Another Deputy head of the European Commission Maros Sefcovic, transferring tripartite dialogues Russia - Ukraine - EU at Least September. Low, by the way, Because the elections with subsequent appointments And approvals was not Only in Ukraine But also in the European Parliament. And There, too, now has a place to be a purely bureaucratic And personnel reshuffle. But, remember, the current contract on gas transit ends not in some distant, beautiful or good future. He such a beast, ends right now. together with new year holidays. And currently on with all this beauty it will be - presumably nobody knows. Thus, again, the situation is, in General, if all goes according to current trends, is absolutely awful. The Russia that its commitments to European partners will follow through any, Even the most negative scenario of development of events (which is already There to be honest, the "Danish incident" as long as Even so until the end And not allowed, And It can block the route "Nord stream - 2" presumably six months). It is no coincidence that we are specifically currently, first, on filling out the eyeballs of European underground storage facilities, "Gazprom" they have leases. And secondly, it is very significant (we about it wrote) had data that came to us from a partner-competitive "Gazprom", " NOVATEK ". There is, if anything, ready to replace the potential shortfall in LNG volumes to its nezakonchennyy: they take it specifically for this " hold ". But that's Exactly the situation with the fake Ukrainian "reverse" transfers the catastrophic situation of political And/or economic plane in Only humanitarian. In Ukraine for next winter can be very cold, it is necessary to soberly assess And be prepared in advance: it's not alien to us citizens. And the fact That they prepare their own power, our government has no right Even to allow calculations. <span style="color:darkgray