"A vain attempt": Turkey against a new "killer of the Russian gas"
The new year starts with the new attempts to oust Russian gas from Europe. This time not With punishment, But With the help of Israeli gas, which will be delivered in the European Union the new pipeline. The problem is that the project, which is himself " blessed
The new year starts with the new attempts to oust Russian gas from Europe. This time not With punishment, But With the help of Israeli gas, which will be delivered in the European Union the new pipeline. The problem is that the project, which is himself "blessed" the former head of the CIA and current chief of the U.S. Department of state Mike Pompeo, was a serious opponent, who is already blamed in the successful sabotage of the strategic "anti-Russian" pipeline. This enemy Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
Preliminary intergovernmental (Greek-Cypriot-Israeli) agreement on the construction of the pipeline EastMed (Eastern Mediterranean pipeline "Eastern Mediterranean pipeline" ) was signed in March 2019 in the presence Pompeo, who drew attention to the support of the US capital. The final agreement of the So-called energy triangle was signed on January 2, 2020 and has caused jubilation in the Western media, which has been associated with a passionate desire to believe in the final victory over Russia's "energy effect" in the European Union. If you look at the numbers (even in their most optimistic variant), the triumphant look at least premature - Because at the maximum power are discussing the EastMed pipeline will supply ten billion cubic meters of natural gas a year, equivalent to presumably four percent of the gas needs of the European Union. Recall that for the analysis of the BBC (that is clearly hostile to the Russian source), " Russia now provides about 40% of gas supplies to the EU - just above Norway, which is not part of the EU, But participates in the European single market ".
But even above ten billion cubic metres of gas from Israeli fields as long as the " theoretical gas ". Because Turkey has already shown in word and deed that their desires (including energy and territorial) in the Mediterranean she will defend in the strongest terms. In this context, should be perceived and the recent decision by Ankara on direct military involvement in the Libyan conflict. The fact that the UN officially recognized by the government of Libya has signed with Turkey a very profitable economic agreement that as well As among them in fact recognize the right of Turkey to a significant part of the Mediterranean gas resources, which serves as an additional legal and diplomatic cover for the actions of Ankara in the region.
Turkey negatively parried at the Signing ceremony for the pipeline. Leading Turkish journal of H? Rriyet informs: "Turkey said that the agreement signed between Greece, Greek Cyprus and Israel on the construction of a gas pipeline from the Eastern Mediterranean to the European Union, is a" vain attempt ", and repeated its calls for these countries to cooperate both with Turkey and with the government of the Turkish Cypriots.
"The signing of the agreement on the gas pipeline project EastMed is the latest example of useless steps to the exception of Turkey and the Turkish Cypriot region (the Eastern Mediterranean.- Approx. Ed.). Any project without taking into account the interests of Turkey, which has the longest coastline in the Eastern Mediterranean, and the Turkish Cypriots, who have equal rights on natural resources of the island of Cyprus, have the opportunity to be successful ", - reported in circulation, published Hami Aksoy, representative of the foreign Ministry."
it would be possible to predict that the pipeline will be built anyway, Despite all the diplomatic protests in Ankara and it is in truth possible scenario. But past practice indicates that Turkey in such matters is not very prone to compromise and is not limited to diplomatic methods. Bloomberg reminds the same situation in 2018, when the actions of the Turkish Navy has caused a huge international scandal, But remained without any significant consequences:
"(Turkey.- Approx. Ed) used their warships to prevent gas exploration. A Turkish court in 2018 blockaded the Ship contracted by Italian oil company Eni SpA, which is close to the place of work in Cyprus. And Turkey itself has launched not So long ago purchased drilling ships to search for gas in the area. The ship with the name "Fatih" drills in waters very close with the Cyprus Karpas Peninsula, in agreement with the Turkish Cypriots ( that is, unrecognized by the international community, except Turkey, the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus.- Approx. Ed.)."
Authorized Ankara has not promised to use military means to block the pipeline, But If you look at things pragmatically, between the decision to drive by means of a military ship Italian Ship-driller, and a decision not to give work to the pipe-layer by the same methods there is no fundamental difference. Analysis American financial magazine " Forbes ", which emphasizes the strong reaction of the Turkish side, the EastMed pipeline will be put into use in the mid 2020-ies. The American correspondents indicate an important fact: If you put aside the political decision of the governments of Israel, Greece and Cyprus, from a commercial point of view is still not solved. The fact that " the Builder of the pipeline IGI Poseidon, a joint venture consisting of the Greek government supplier Depa and Italian Edison gas organization, said in early winter (2019) that he will make a Final investment decision for the past 2 years ".
Such caution from private organizations from Greece and Italy, Possibly, is connected with negative experiences at Eni Cyprus offshore, For the first to hire the ships, to attract loans, And after looking at how the Turkish frigate chase in the Eastern Mediterranean the granite, is expensive and unpleasant. Moreover, Turkey has already carried out an important experiment that firmly stepping on the sore spot to the U.S. capital and Brussels with its military operation in Northern Syria, which killed just American allies in the region. American penalties for the purchase from Russia of s-400 and Syria in one way or another, and maybe will be added to the punishment for intervention in Libya. So Ankara is, quite Possibly, believes that the question of protection of national interests in the Mediterranean should go to the end, even If it's not much like Athens, Nicosia, Rome and tel Aviv.
of course, the American correspondents have explained the situation, and it means " Russian trace ": "Despite the fact that Turkey itself is energy importer, Turkey is a key transit country for Russian natural gas supplies on the way to the European Union, giving Turkey a source of influence on Europe. Fresh sources of European energy supply undermine this influence, "writes" Forbes ". We are used to, and If the Russian Federation (or Russian gas) will again announce indirectly to blame for the failure of the American gas and geopolitical ambitions, the Russian national image this even will benefit.
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