Ukrainian advanced energy surprises
Orientation on European values against the desire to reduce energy imports has led To a boom of renewable energy development in Ukraine. Although some interest in the sector appeared in the times of Viktor Yanukovych, the volume of launches then And now are simply incomparable.
Orientation on European values against the desire to reduce energy imports has led To a boom of renewable energy development in Ukraine. Although some interest in the sector appeared in the times of Viktor Yanukovych, the volume of launches then And now are simply incomparable. By the spring of 2020 came to Ukraine with significant (For a very traditional power of the country) the capacities of renewable energy, And most importantly, most of These volumes were run over the past 2019. Currently in Ukraine for almost 7 gigawatts of renewables capacity, of which 4, 5 was commissioned at the results of last year.
it would be possible to be glad for the neighbors, But the rapid growth came into conflict With both funding And technology. In the end, the entrepreneurs, that is households, sometimes not paying green tariff, investors in industrial wind farms And solar power plants threaten to revise the amount of the promised payments, the system operator disconnects from the network, the excess of renewable energy because of the imbalance of the power system, And "Energoatom" not enough money for fuel. To compensate for the deficit payment of "green" is expected to increase the rate For residents of at least half. Against this background, in question And further growth of the sector. And Now - The Details.
Wind farms are built mostly industrial, solar power plants can be both industrial And private - on private land. These stations are not so many (estimated about six % of all installed capacity "of the sun" ), but the sensitivity in case of questions here maximum: ordinary people risk their own savings. In 2020, 22 thousand households (For comparison, in 2014 - a total of 20) have established home SES. Before we already discussed the features of home solar panels in Ukraine. In short: a very high rate of redemption of green energy in currency (18 cents per kilowatt-hour) And full payback in four to five years. Then a few years (until 2030) it is Possible to receive profit, handing over power to the grid. And After the solar station Can be adapted To their own needs, equipping battery. For the state With troubled prospects of the energy system - the idea of winning.
So why all the villagers did not? Although technically you Can connect any, even small volumes of panels, the economic meaning appears on the scale at least ten, But preferably 30 kilowatts of power, And that from ten to 30 thousand dollars of investment. In addition, there are risks. One risk was nearly realized in the past year. Discussed cancellation rate For ground (not roof), SES (ground SES the vast majority, they are much cheaper than the station on the roof, But occupy fertile land). After the scandals And litigation has played all ago. Now it has formed the risk of non-payment: in three areas of Western Ukraine, home SES already had debts in a few months. Side know who of the participants of the energy market is to blame, But common reasons are obvious: Renewable energy is already having an unacceptable load on the energy market And leads To a crisis of non-payments. Although expensive Renewable energy is subsidized from a "common pot" - And in 1st place due to the cheap electric power of nuclear power stations, amid a sharp increase in the sector to reduce the debit With the credit in the end fails.
Moreover, "Energoatom" considers That special obligations on a green tariff leads To the fact That he is not receiving all needed To complete the work means. And even in this case there were underpayments, the debt amounts to 3 billion UAH (approximately 7 billion). In the end, According to the management of " Energoatom ", the lack of timely And complete payment of electric energy has led To a shortage of funds for the implementation of the production program, on payment of fresh nuclear fuel And the absence of payment of the investment during construction.
Thus, according to forecasts of Ukrainian observers, in 2020 renewable energy will have about six % of electric power generation, But it will spend 20 % of all the money in the energy market.
By the way, how real is this production of green energy, remains in question: now there is the problem of integrating intermittent energy into the network. The share of renewable energy in the Ukrainian power system in the ratio (say, Germany) is small, But the Ukrainian energy sector is suffering because of the shortage of maneuverable capacity. Its basis is formed by a hulking coal-fired power plants And nuclear power plants. Because of the " off-balance sheet activities ", the system operator has several times restricted the production of intermittent RES energy. But over the past year, the volume of renewable energy has increased significantly, besides the main part - this is solar energy. With the onset of spring And increasing daylight hours we will see additional volumes of production of "excess" solar energy And fresh off. But energy production from renewable sources, even disabled at the moment on the network or otherwise need to pay is a worldwide practice And the problem For power systems.
What's Next? It is clear That the position of stalemate. Against the background of financial And technological imbalances to develop the sector can't Continue. In order to somehow make finances on the table (besides those already mentioned at the beginning of the tariff increase) the possibility of reduction of the green tariff For industrial space and For the population And For organisations invested in green energy. But on the decision of investors fundamentally disagree, it is objectively undermines the already weak investment climate in the country.
The situation is difficult. On the one Hand, the buyout price of green energy in Ukraine And in the truth of high (significantly higher than in Europe) And, of course, the participants will receive their profit. On the reverse Side, we give an example: the energy holding DTEK (or rather, its green division) placed a "green bond" With a yield of More than 8 5 percent per annum in Euro for funding new renewable energy projects. The price of the loan is objectively high, for this reason, a possible reduction of the tariff will ruin the economy of the whole project.
We can debate the reasons why rates were so high. Note That the whole world has moved from fixed green tariffs on an auction system, where the Cost of buying green energy decreases When the rivalry of the different participants. The first auctions are obliged to pass only in April, But have the ability to be postponed.
however, it is highly Possible That After a record of inputs in 2019, the renewable energy sector in Ukraine will not succeed this year. The most interesting - What will happen at the auctions And what will be the starting And final prices. But one way or another can not be undone, for old commitments have to be paid. Cost is an issue, the volume of investment in renewable energy sources, it is estimated that five billion dollars And above (if the estimate, And it turns out: 7 gigawatts With the cost of installation of a power unit And not More than 1000 dollars per kilowatt). The amount For the state is rather big, for example, it is comparable With the fee for gas transit throughout the 2 and a half years. The majority of the money went to foreign suppliers of equipment obligations, as, for example, in our country for the localization of equipment For renewable energy in Ukraine. Renewable energy in Ukraine is much more expensive than the rest of the generation.
This means, Ukraine one way or another is an energy importing country, not only directly - through cheap coal or even gas, And indirectly through expensive equipment For wind turbines And solar panels, as well As interest rates on foreign currency loans.
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