The Ministry of economic development forecasts that the average price of oil and the dollar this year.
As told the head of Department Maxim Reshetnikov, Price of black gold in 2020 will not fall below $ 30 per barrel, and in the coming year will recover to $ 40.
The Ministry also predicts that the price of Urals oil will be 31, 1 dollar per barrel vs 63, 8 dollar in 2019. At the same time in the Department pornosivut a gradual increase in prices over the next three years: 2021-m - 35, $ 4, 2022 - 42, $ 2, 2023 - 45, 6 dollars per barrel.
according to authorities, in April the price of Urals stood at around 18, $ 22 a barrel - almost four times less than the same period last year, when the Price was kept at 71, $ 54. Low oil of this brand has reached 1 April: then a barrel was worth 10, $ 54. Currently it costs $ 33-34 dollars per barrel.
According to Reshetnikova, such fluctuations were caused by the absence at that time of the agreements between the OPEC countries on the future extension of the Treaty on the reduction of production, and falling demand for raw materials due to pandemic coronavirus.
the Minister drew attention that the new contract has helped to stabilise the market. However, he warned that the world economy has accumulated a large buildup of oil. This factor, complained to the MP, will put pressure on the market.
the Ministry also predicted that the average annual dollar rate this year will be 72, 6 ruble. In 2021-m American currency to have strengthened against the Russian - to 74, 7 ruble. However, as the dollar starts to decline in 2022 - up to 73, 3 rubles, in 2023 - to 72, 1.
The head of the Ministry also warned that by the end of this year the Russian currency will weaken moderately due to the fact that in the 2nd part of the export-import starts to recover, at the same time as reviving the economy imports will grow slightly more active due to restrictions imposed before. This leads to the fact that the dollar will rise to 75-76 rubles, according to the Ministry.
Today at 21: 00 Moscow time the dollar rate was 70, 92 rubles. In the last 2 days the Russian currency has strengthened significantly against the U.S. because of higher oil prices on the background of the messages on the recovery of demand for raw materials.