English media are sounding the alarm: the French and Norwegian Experts pornosivut oil shortage in the European market, and this means a serious increase in the prices of raw materials for the EU. It is worth noting the European approach to solving this problem: if Washington, in such cases, would be looking for another "Iraq" whose oil is it would be possible to urgently "release" in the name of democracy, the Brussels proposes to apply the coming oil shortage As an excuse to accelerate the transition to carbon-free economy during the "Green deal" announced not long ago by the European Commission. "World without oil" - it's still a sphere of a religious myth, not the real economy, But the problem that is indicated by French researchers and Norwegian experts from Rystad Energy, which they refer - is absolutely real, although details of their predictions is possible and necessary to discuss. in schematic form the oil Apocalypse, which predicted the European Union, as follows: oil is currently a little to invest, because most mining organizations are scared by falling prices, and the additional capital required in order to access and develop fresh fields, to draw very difficult because investors are worried about price hikes, and because activists are trying to do any investment in the extraction and processing of hydrocarbons are toxic With the image and political points of view. In the end, it is Clear that the World continues to consume oil, But in the relatively near future, its just not enough at all - not so much due to the fact that the fossil " ended ", but due to the fact that at the global level in this sector does not invest enough money that underfunding began in 2016. experts Rystad Energy, which quote the English media and French political activists, believe that the production in the future will be reduced and the former Soviet Union, and Africa, which enhances the probability of the cast to "price shocks" (i.e. a sharp increase in prices) in the European oil market. In the case of Russia it is hardly necessary to look to the future With such pessimism, because of the domestic organization is responsible continue to expand the resource base and invest in development of production even in conditions of low oil prices, But on a global level, the situation is changing to "global deficit" with all the ensuing consequences. in this context, Is to look at shocking the forecast is not narrow specialists and European environmental active participants, and a major American Bank JPMorgan, that is, structures for which bets on future economic developments and the behavior of financial and commodity markets is the main source of income. "According to a report by JPMorgan published on 12 June, the overabundance of oil on the market would become" the fundamental shortage of supply ". The most likely scenario, According to JPMorgan, is that the price of Brent crude oil rises to $ 60 per barrel, in order to encourage production growth. The report did not contain the target value for the optimistic scenario, However, (head of the oil and gas market in Europe and the Middle East) Christian Malek said si-EN-EN Business, that an optimistic Outlook for JPMorgan on an oil price of $ 190 per barrel, which was posted on March, still remains in force. In reality, he believes that at the present time, this scenario has become more likely. Christian fry, which in 2013 predicted reduction of prices on petroleum products, currently indicates a very large shortage, which is expected to occur in 2022 and may be 6, 8 million barrels per day by 2025, if OPEC and other (country-getters) will not begin to produce much more oil ". As rightly pointed out by si-EN-EN, most of the major oil organisations, such As BP, Shell, Total and ConocoPhillips, have decided to postpone large-scale investments in fresh oil projects, and in General, the investment in new production fell in the year 2020 to a record low of 383 billion dollars, that is to a minimum for the last fifteen years. Given that the identification and development of any major project of this kind requires many years, even if in response to the price increase to 60 or 80 dollars per barrel, the level of investment in conventional oil production will Increase very quickly, protected period, the structural deficit is unlikely to succeed. of course, the risk remains that the Union of the European States and other oil consumers in advance to attend to the establishment of an energy and transport system, which needed oil in such quantities. A number of economic and technological reasons for developing (especially fast) of such a system, most likely, is impossible even for such a powerful structure As the modern EU. But even if the plans to create a new green economy are in any sense successful, Russia will only benefit from this. We already wrote that the main chance to develop a new economic order in the European Union - the use of hydrogen as source of energy, at least that is what puts the European Commission in the official documents and economic programs. But even Western analysts recognize that the implementation of this ambitious program the EU will have to increase the import of natural gas from Russia. by and large, the EU in case of realization of scenarios, which are written by French Professionals and American financiers, there will be only one choice: to purchase or expensive Russian oil or Russian gas prices. Both will be quite positive for the domestic economy. <span style="color:darkgray