Why Lukashenka will soon correct my mistake

It's been almost a week since the detention in Minsk of 33 citizens of Russia, which the Belarusian authorities are suspected of intending to build numerous riots in the presidential election process, which will be held in the Republic on 9 August. What is happening does not fit into any framework - the fraternal relations of Russia And Belarus highly appreciate And peoples of 2-States And their leaders. There is no doubt That Lukashenko is the sixth time re-elect the President in the first round, so who And why need This strange story, experiencing the strength of relations 2-States And undermining the credibility of Lukashenka in Russia?

it should Immediately be clear: no one believes That Putin was going to overthrow Lukashenko. Twenty years of relationship 2 leaders (and they know more), not to mention the relationship of 2 countries say about the Fact That even speculation about It is completely absurd. Similarly, there is No reason to suspect the Russian authorities as such in desire in any way, including law enforcement, to contribute to the change of power in Belarus. That is, despite the Fact That Minsk does not believe in the explanations Of the transit nature of the stay of a group of employees of Russian PMCs in Belarus, to come up with Some convincing theory about planning their destructive actions does not work.

in Minsk assume That they have the opportunity to be associated with the staff of the Svetlana Tikhanovski one Of the opposition presidential candidates, But no details are not given. And no wonder: this kind of communication is absolutely incredible. Tikhanovski can not use RF or no support from the law enforcement or similar structures, and any PMCs or similar organizations dense way are supervised by the security forces. And why in Minsk 33 or 200 (as, According to Belarusian authorities, it was planned to throw on a site of the Republic of Russia) people? What they had to do? To stage a coup? Numerous riots?

the last hint certain Belarusian politicians. According to them, Moscow is very wants to weaken Lukashenko, to make his re-election is not a legitimate And For This decided to provoke in Belarus riots. Yesterday, elections And Immediately after them, And were obliged to deal with the Russian guests. Because among the radical opposition Lukashenko this violent little - there is no one to provoke the security forces in the bloody suppression of the protests:

"The Kremlin wants to weaken Lukashenko, to make him more docile And tractable, wants to limit his room For maneuver. This, in the opinion of the Russian capital, it is possible to achieve a decrease in the legitimacy of the country's leader in the eyes of the people And the deterioration of relations with the West. For This it is necessary to OMON rigidly, the maximum blood, ideally with the victims, dispersed the protesters before And after the elections.

sections: Politics