2011-03-15, 14:13
For Japan its obviously going to be a very severe shock. You can see from the pictures that there is obviously going to be a lot of damage and disruption, particularly the warnings of power shortages. That could obviously extend the consequences across the broader part of the country and that is where the real effect will be. So its still very early and nobody, frankly, has any great idea to the extent of the damage or how long last it will be, or even the cost of rebuilding. So you can see that in the stock market behaviour this morning. People are just holding fire, waiting to see what happens next, particularly waiting to see if there is any follow up or any further events or any deterioration of the nuclear plants. But short term, we are going to see a big slow down, that`s inevitable, and then it`s a question of how quickly the country can start rebuilding and that, in terms of sequence, short term reaction will be very negative. Rebuilding on such a massive scale of course