about how the situation will develop in Abkhazia, where, under the pressure of opposition leader Alexander Ankvab resigned range of capabilities And appointed early elections, in an interview information Agency told the coordinator of the working group of the Center for the study of Central Asia And Caucasus of the Institute of Oriental studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences Alexander Skakov.
information Agency: until it is not clear whether Ankvab on elections, POPs is he? And If so, does not escalate if the resistance between the opposition And the Ankvab, power variant of development is currently turned on the defensive power is already in the presidential elections?
I Think not. In this case, the situation would be resolved is not difficult, If in the autumn, when this Issue was raised when there was a Danger of holding people's Assembly, Ankvab would go on some concessions to the opposition, first, the question of the nationality Of the Georgian inhabitants of the Gal district And, secondly, the appointment of someone from the opposition on some key positions, could be given 3-4 post And I Think the situation would be able to solve it. In Abkhazia there are several odious figure, which caused the rejection of the considerable part of society, If They were changed, It would be positive. This was not done in the hope That it goes all disappears. And further, I Think the Abkhazian opposing political force itself took time out during the Olympic games in Sochi in order not to spoil the Olympics For the capital of Russia, the opposition was This understanding.
information Agency: And launched under Ukraine?
It happened already. What to do, nonstop something happens. But the holding of the gathering was promised, it was predictable, And the possibility of early care Ankvab was too predictable.
Ankvab has a possibility to register as a candidate in these elections, he May use it, at least he has a chance to advance to the second round, If not to win. It has some support And assume That Ankvab has done nothing To Abkhazia, it is impossible.
information Agency: And If he wins the election?
Then will behave differently, will be learned by bitter experience. The question in the ability to conduct a dialogue, in the ability of their position to explain to bring it to people, that citizens understand That they do.
information Agency: has the opportunity to be, will change the environment?
news agencies: what is the " plan Khajimba "?
I don't know of any " plan Khajimba ". Raul Khajimba has increased as a politician in the last few years, It is not the same Khajimba, who some time ago was trying to become the successor of Vladislav Ardzinba. But I do not think That Khajimba is a recognized leader of the opposition. I Think a more serious figure It Vitaly Gabnia, leader of the veteran organization " Aruaa ". Probably, it has a serious future as a politician. I Think he Might be nominated, he has prospects. If to compare it And Khajimba, Gabnia even more likely, because This man has no plume of failed elections before.
information Agency: Sergey Shamba will go to the polls?
I Think Shamba will not go, he was walking, he took a step away from the big politics. I'll go Khajimba, Gabnia, I'll go Beslan Butba, how often, And the Issue will go Ankvab, or the Question whether he will find someone else from their environment instead of himself, But somehow not very visible to anyone.
information Agency: Speaker Valery Bganba, acting At the present time duties of the President, will not be nominated?
I think That no, he has no chances, with all due respect.
I think the best option If there would be currently many perturbate in the government of Abkhazia, there are a lot of professionals working well, change all it is not necessary, It would be unconstructive.
information Agency: active in Georgia, And doing a lot of statements on the situation in Abkhazia. What They hope, indeed, will change the power in Abkhazia or not, For them, nothing changes?
They're just trying to show That in the course of the regulations That control the situation in Abkhazia. But It is not perfect. For them, first of all, it was a great surprise of all This, And, secondly, they have no real levers of influence on the situation in Abkhazia. This is simply an attempt of self-public relations.