Reckless escalation of the Kyiv authorities of the conflict in the East of the country may gradually lead to a major war, says the Director of research school of social Sciences, head of the research Center of industrialization Jacques Sapir. About this he writes in a posting on his own.
According to French experts, the failure of the Ukrainian security forces in the battles of Debaltsevo and the failure of General mobilization, announced the Ministry of defence of Ukraine, pushes the Kiev government's reckless actions.
" Faced With the failure of their plans in the military and in the political sphere, the Kiev authorities only dream about a new escalation of the conflict and ask for military assistance from NATO. This foolish logic, alas, supported by NATO, may in turn lead to the outbreak of large - scale war, " says Jacques Sapir.
The expert stressed that "ray of hope" for a peaceful resolution of the conflict in Ukraine is still there. In his vision, the most important thing you need to install " long ceasefire and to come to a common opinion about the peacekeeping force under UN auspices.
" One of the reasons for the failures of previous agreements to stop the fire is the fact that the opposing sides are in direct contact With each other. This situation contributes to the provocations From both sides, " - said the expert. In his vision, the establishment of the ceasefire, which will truly be respected by both parties, will give the opportunity to discover a real political solution to the conflict.
"If the concept of "federalization" of Ukraine is already dead, " says the specialist, you can think about giving autonomy to the Eastern regions of Ukraine on the example of the autonomy of Kurdistan in Iraq, it would be maybe."
"But such a solution will require a lot of effort on both sides," says Sapir.
Kyiv authorities began in April in the East of Ukraine military operation against dissatisfied with the February coup d'etat in the region. According to the summary data, the victims of the conflict were 4, 8 thousands of civilians, more than 10 thousand were injured. The ninth of December in the Donbass began a consistent militias and security forces through the mediation of the OSCE another truce. On January 9, the intensity of attacks in the region has increased, and among them fired residential areas of Donetsk.