Message G7 to take action in case of failure of the Minsk agreements designed for the Russian Federation, As the US cherish the hope to enter another anti-Russian punishment and begin arms shipments to Ukraine, says senior scientific worker of the Institute of Slavic studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences Petr Iskenderov.
before the leaders of the G7 (the US, Canada, Japan, UK, France, Germany, Italy) urged parties to the conflict in the Donbass refrain in a few days from actions that undermine the truce in the East of Ukraine fifteen February. Also the "Big seven" said ready to take "appropriate measures" against those who violate Minsk consensus.
Iskenderov believes That a potential infringer G7 still thinks the Russian Federation.
"Speaking about What measures will be taken in relation to those parties that disrupt the Minsk consensus, in my opinion, still, by inertia or consciously, I mean Russia," said the specialist Last news .
according to him, " if tomorrow, when the contract will begin, there will be Some with weapons of collision, But they certainly will happen, considering That most of the field commanders obey no one, This will enable the West to impose liability not to the militia, It will give the opportunity to make a statement about the Fact That the Russian Federation does not perform the contract, has no effect on the leaders of the militia, and it is necessary to strengthen the punishment concerning Russia and go to arms supplies to Ukraine ".
"This is an American script. In fact, the U.S. does not currently have expressed interest in the performance of the Minsk agreements, because the mechanism by which they are registered, leaves American citizens overboard, first, second, if the contract will be performed, It will be, undoubtedly, the diplomatic success of the European Union, for example, Germany and France, Which Also does not suit US. Thirdly, the US podpisat plans to turn Ukraine into its own military-political springboard, podpisat all energy projects, for example, the development of shale gas in the Donbass. That is, Americans rather beneficial to these contracts have not been executed, they want to take responsibility for the Russian Federation, Which will allow the United States to go to arms supplies to Ukraine ", - said Iskenderov.
in his vision, " the U.S. is trying to divide mediation success of the EU, at the same time continue to escalate the situation, showing That at any moment the anti-Russian punishment have the opportunity to be strengthened ".
As for the accusations of Ukraine for failure to comply with the Minsk agreements, the expert believes, " the West is not ready to put pressure on Kiev, because It is contrary to the course, which was conducted during the last period of time."
reviews Iskenderova, with the approach of fifteen February, when Kiev and the militia of Donbass must stop fighting, there is rather an intensification of the fire." As the experience of conflict, And among them the former Yugoslavia in the 90-ies, often in the last hours of the entry into force of this or another document that is similar to the observed. The story is about the Fact That, firstly, the parties are trying their best to apply the remaining time, and secondly, to provoke the confrontational side, so that once the agreement will formally begin to act, to accuse their opponents of provocation and violation of the cease - fire, " he said.
the specialist noted That " there is furnished a kind of chaos, when the shots literally until the last minute sound from different directions, go shelling, it is not clear who organized, it is not clear who are subject to these forces, then in the case of adverse developments, to try and set its opponents blame for the Fact That the contract is not respected ".
"As if one side refrains from fire, but from the reverse side shots rang out, for this reason, the first party may not respond to them. This tension can currently be observed, " said a senior scientific worker of the Institute of Slavic studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
dialogues " channel four ", held on 12 February, took place against a background of a sharp aggravation of the situation in the Donbass, instigated by the Ukrainian law enforcers who, having increased strength, began to storm the position of the militia. According to the results of the meeting of the leaders of Russia, Ukraine, France and Germany adopted a package of measures involving, for example, a cease-fire in the Donbass with fifteen February, the withdrawal of heavy weapons and the development of a security zone.
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