MOSCOW, 16 Feb - RIA Novosti/Prime, Elena Lykov. The market of the Russian Federation of shares after a small increase at the beginning of the trading session on the first day of the week began to decline amid the uncertain dynamics of oil prices, reflecting the previous growth.
The MICEX index to 13. 57 GMT decreased by 2, 45%, until 1793, 19 points, the RTS Index 1, 03% to 904, 63 points. The dollar / ruble exchange rate calculations "tomorrow" was decreased by 1, 05 ruble, 62, 45 ruble, Euro - 1, 1 ruble, to 71, 28 ruble, inform capital data exchange.
The price of Brent rose by 0, 01% to 61, 58 dollars per barrel.
Leaders increase were shares of Mosenergo (3, 44%), "M. Video" (3, 36%), Sistema (1, 96%). Among the leaders of lower - Pharmacy 36, 6 "(-16, 65%), otygryvalsya a sharp increase on the last working day of the week, as well as the Shares of Tatneft (-5, 25%), LUKOIL (-4, 15%), Rosneft (-3, 89%) and "Gazprom Neft" (-2, 78%), falling amid falling oil prices.
The market carefully watching the situation in Ukraine, because in General truce is saved, but when this enters the data on part of the violations, specialists say.
The external background for the Russian stock market Today - neutral, say analysts of the organization " Univer Capital ".
"Investors' attention in the near future will be focused on the ongoing correction in oil prices due to the reduction of the number of active drilling rigs in the production of shale oil in the United States and reduce the cost of oil exploration and development of new deposits and the reduction of staff, " they emphasized.
on the first day of the week, by tapping on the start 1848 points, the MICEX Index turned down, closing below 1800 points could trigger a correction, analysts BFA Bank.
If there are signals that the peace process in Ukraine is established, the Market can add 5-7%, suggests the head of operations on the Russian stock market investment "freedom Finance" George Vashchenko. However the level of 1900 points on the MICEX index, which during the week can be a powerful incentive to commit long positions by the end of the week, he adds.
"We believe that to break the historical maximum on the first try does not work, and great chances that the following weekend, the Market will adjust to the level of 1780-1800," says the specialist.
However, a senior analyst at IFC Metropol in Moscow Andrey Rozhkov believes that this week is expected growth in the Russian stock market." We believe that the MICEX Index will have the opportunity to reach 1890 points, which will be a strong resistance level. At the same time 1800 points will be the support level for the index, " he said.
The implementation of a peace agreement to stop the war conflict in Ukraine is not yet up to the end included in the value of the Russian ruble and ruble-denominated assets, emphasizes breath. Along With this steady observance of the cessation of hostilities can help growth expectations removal of economic sanctions by the U.S. and the EU on Russia, and these expectations will be conducive to maintaining confidence in the stock market, he said.
"We expect the dynamics of the" better market " shares of credit institutions, retailers, part of the engineering and energy organizations. From transport organizations We allocated " Aeroflot ", which In the current year can significantly increase the market share of passenger traffic, " he says.
Shares of organizations focused on External demand (oil and metals), have the opportunity to be "below the market" this week on the strengthening of the ruble, which reduces the profitability of exporters, adds the expert.
Today trading activity does promise to be low, says Anton Fomin, analyst Of InstaForex organization." Significant events are not scheduled, and market players are likely to do the arrangement positions after Friday's rally, " adds the expert.
The purpose of increase of the RTS index, which was observed last week, you can designate 1000 points, and the stock Market is able to fly that simply by negativley on him wave of confidence, says managing the assets of the organization Veles Management " Yuri Timoschenko.
"The main intrigue will be concentrated in the ability to remain at current levels and not to slip back If in the coming week the RTS Index will not return to levels of about 750-800 points, a reversal of the long-term trend of the stock market up will be possible to consider the case held," he emphasizes.
With the onset of a new week theme Greece again coming to the fore, says analyst group of companies InstaForex Michael Poddubsky." Already Today we will start a new round of negotiations on the issue of Greek debt, and under favorable news stock markets have an opportunity to get another batch of confidence, " adds the analyst.