The U.S. And the European Union remain committed to a policy of punishment, which for a year has not led to the expected results And which has no chance of success in the future, a senior scientist at the Brookings Institution (Brookings Institution) Clifford the Gaddy.
"The sanctions policy was doomed to failure because it is based on false assumptions about how imagine the vast number of Russians, for example, how they see their security," says the analyst.
The main problem in relations between Russia And the West is that the parties misunderstand each other, for example, is fundamentally different their opinions about the best way to ensure their own safety. Outlook Russia, for example, its President, is fundamentally different from the worldview of the West. Russia And the West "shared worlds" that became a threat to the security of Russian actions in Ukraine or about what are the penalties, I'm sure Clifford the Gaddy.
"Applying punishment, we (the West - approx. Ed.) I think that forced the Russian Federation to change their behavior more acceptable. Russians perceive It as a forced choice - either accept the political And military situation that threatens their state, or to be involved in continuously growing economic war. For the Russian Federation Is not a choice. This defeat in each case, " says the analyst.
so, the West has found himself in his own trap. The U.S. And the European Union followed a policy that never had the opportunity to work in Such a way as it was intended, namely not had the opportunity to become a method to make the Russian Federation to change behaviour And to obey the West. Russia will not respect these rules as long as long as will be convinced that the West lets her in ensuring its security. Punishment will never solve the "Russian problem" of the West, until it's time Moscow will feel the danger And will be able to defend themselves, writes Clifford the Gaddy.
If " to win the conflict with Russia For the West means to force the Russian Federation to recognize that the Western version of the international security prevails over the Russian version, then there is only one way to do This is Russia must collapse. However, Western countries should be prepared to " fight to the end ", because Russia uses the entire capacity, before you refuse protection security And sovereignty. So, the West is obliged either to have a plan neutralize all Russian weapons, either to prepare to survive in the event of their use, cautions the analyst.
However, non-military way to resolve the conflict will be the most reasonable. The West and Russia have expressed interest in providing their own security. And with dispute resolution in this matter, the parties should start conversations with each other, says Clifford the Gaddy.