Moscow and the Moscow region are the only regions in Russia that have already passed the Peak incidence of coronavirus, in other regions It will come over the next one to two weeks, said Last news, candidate of economic Sciences, expert of the Center for economic research Aghasi Tavadyan.

"The peak of coronavirus have been only Moscow and the Moscow region. The main reason for this that Since the end of April in the Moscow region, greatly increased the number of tests. On the one hand, increased the number of patients With reverse, was discovered and isolated cases at the earliest stages. Increased the percentage of asymptomatic carriers of the virus. In the end, the Peak came earlier (He predicted the last week of may - ed.) and then the decline began. The increase in the number of the test and subsequent Isolation of carriers of the virus have reduced the rate of spread of disease ", - said Tavadyan.

specialist said that the sharp decline of coronavirus is observed only in Moscow region, other regions or at the peak or It will be achieved in the coming one to two weeks.

the results of the examination of the expert, in the North-West Federal district, for example, in St. Petersburg, and likewise in the North Caucasus Federal district will be a long plateau and then a gradual and permanent decrease in the number of cases. High probability that the decrease in incidence rate will last until the end of summer.

"I think that we should not expect that the virus will disappear. May be its reduction. It becomes commonplace for us ", - said Tavadyan.

The scientist said that the performance of quarantine, the most High, if 90% of people comply with it. Models show that 80% of the performance is palpable, and if it is observed only 70% and below, the quarantine is ineffective. Another picture of the incidence would be observed, if Russia went on the Asian scenario of quarantine, where more than 80% of people complied with the lockdown. In Russia the number of people in quarantine were smaller. Isolation helped to slow down the number of infections, to prepare hospitals and tests to allow tests.

for reviews of the interlocutor of the Agency, does not expect the second wave of the virus, which, however, will not be sudden and dramatic as the first encounter With the disease.

"in the beginning of the year, it was expected that the number of deaths in the world is more than a million people. But these calculations are, fortunately, did not materialize. Now clear the work order and surprises will be much less ", - said Tavadyan.

Current information on the situation of COVID-19 in Russia and the world presented on the portal stopmanager. Of the Russian Federation.



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sections: Politics