There are two scenarios of the development of the situation around the anti-punishment, According to the more positive voltage on the East of Ukraine starts to subside in early next year, which will give an opportunity to begin a gradual abolition of the punishment relative to the Russian Federation in 2015, according to a study by Italian export credit Agency (Sace), the data which results in the print edition.

experts of the Italian export credit Agency believe that after Ukrainian elections at the end of October, the situation in the East of the country may again be exacerbated, and only at the beginning of next year, the voltage starts to gradually recede, which will allow for 2015 to begin a phased abolition of the punishment. This development will be extremely beneficial for the Italian economy, the study says.

The second, more negative, but not more likely scenario, Russia will continue to support the Donetsk and Lugansk militia ", it will lead to a tightening of European and American sanctions and appropriate response to the economic measures from the capital of Russia. Information research, such developments will be a real collapse of the Italian exports will decline by 13% in 2014 and by 17% in 2015, incurring a loss of 3 billion euros.

need as soon as possible do need to cancel anti-punishment rules, Experts say, because " the continued tension destabilize relations between Russia and European countries, in practice, leading to a trade war.

sections: Politics